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Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

We introduce a new way to sample inhomogeneous random graphs designed to have a lot of flexibility in the assignment of the degree sequence and the individual edge probabilities while remaining tractable. To achieve this we run a Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Lorenzo Federico

We introduce constrained Gaussian process (CGP), a Gaussian process model for random functions that allows easy placement of mathematical constrains (e.g., non-negativity, monotonicity, etc) on its sample functions. CGP comes with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Jeremiah Zhe Liu

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with ubiquitous applications. A general difficulty in statistical inference under partially observed CTMC models arises in computing transition probabilities when the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-10 Jason Xu , Vladimir N. Minin

Given a collection of entities (or nodes) in a network and our intermittent observations of activities from each entity, an important problem is to learn the hidden edges depicting directional relationships among these entities. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-01 Triet M Le

We present a systematic short time expansion for the generating function of the one point height probability distribution for the KPZ equation with droplet initial condition, which goes much beyond previous studies. The expansion is checked…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-21 Alexandre Krajenbrink , Pierre Le Doussal , Sylvain Prolhac

Hard Thresholding Pursuit (HTP) is an iterative greedy selection procedure for finding sparse solutions of underdetermined linear systems. This method has been shown to have strong theoretical guarantee and impressive numerical performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-26 Xiao-Tong Yuan , Ping Li , Tong Zhang

We study Fredholm determinants of the Painlev\'e II and Painlev\'e XXXIV kernels. In certain critical unitary random matrix ensembles, these determinants describe special gap probabilities of eigenvalues. We obtain Tracy-Widom formulas for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-09-26 Shuai-Xia Xu , Dan Dai

Branching processes in a random environment are natural generalisations of Galton-Watson processes. In this paper we analyse the asymptotic decay of the survival probability for a sequence of slightly supercritical branching processes in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Florin Boenkost , Götz Kersting

In this paper, the statistical properties of Newton s method algorithm output in a specific case have been studied. The relative frequency density of this sample converges to a well-defined function, prompting us to explore its…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-16 Taki Kirouani

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a flexible non-parametric approach to approximate complex models. In many cases, these models correspond to processes with bounded physical properties. Standard GP regression typically results in a proxy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-10 Andrew Pensoneault , Xiu Yang , Xueyu Zhu

We consider Bayesian inference problems with computationally intensive likelihood functions. We propose a Gaussian process (GP) based method to approximate the joint distribution of the unknown parameters and the data. In particular, we…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-15 Hongqiao Wang , Jinglai Li

When we try to solve a system of linear equations, we can consider a simple iterative algorithm in which an equation including only one variable is chosen at each step, and the variable is fixed to the value satisfying the equation. The…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-06-03 Ryuhei Mori , Osamu Watanabe

In this paper, we study the gap probability problem of the (symmetric) Jacobi unitary ensemble of Hermitian random matrices, namely the probability that the interval $(-a,a)\:(0<a<1)$ is free of eigenvalues. Using the ladder operator…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-12-17 Chao Min , Yang Chen

We study the joint asymptotics of forward and backward processes of numbers of non-empty urns in an infinite urn scheme. The probabilities of balls hitting the urns are assumed to satisfy the conditions of regular decrease. We prove weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Mikhail Chebunin , Artyom Kovalevskii

In this work, we study convergence in probability and almost sure convergence for weighted partial sums of random variables that are related to the class of generalized Oppenheim expansions. It is worth noting that the random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Rita Giuliano , Milto Hadjikyriakou

In this note, we analyze two random greedy processes on sparse random graphs and hypergraphs with a given degree sequence. First we analyze the matching process, which builds a set of disjoint edges one edge at a time; then we analyze the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Deepak Bal , Patrick Bennett

We study the asymptotic probability that a random walk with heavy-tailed increments crosses a high boundary on a random time interval. We use new techniques to extend results of Asmussen [Ann. Appl. Probab. 8 (1998) 354-374] to completely…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Zbigniew Palmowski , Stan Zachary

Fragmentation processes are part of a broad class of models describing the evolution of a system of particles which split apart at random. These models are widely used in biology, materials science and nuclear physics, and their asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-23 Quan Shi , Alexander R. Watson

Progressive Hedging is a popular decomposition algorithm for solving multi-stage stochastic optimization problems. A computational bottleneck of this algorithm is that all scenario subproblems have to be solved at each iteration. In this…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Gilles Bareilles , Yassine Laguel , Dmitry Grishchenko , Franck Iutzeler , Jérôme Malick