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In this paper we provide an upper bound for the conjunction probability of independent Gaussian smooth processes and then we prove that this bound is a good approximation with exponentially smaller error. Our result confirms the heuristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Viet-Hung Pham

In this review article, we discuss connections between the physics of disordered systems, phase transitions in inference problems, and computational hardness. We introduce two models representing the behavior of glassy systems, the spiked…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-12-07 David Gamarnik , Cristopher Moore , Lenka Zdeborová

We study boundary non-crossing probabilities $$ P_{f,u} := \mathrm P\big(\forall t\in \mathbb T\ X_t + f(t)\le u(t)\big) $$ for continuous centered Gaussian process $X$ indexed by some arbitrary compact separable metric space $\mathbb T$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-20 Pooja Algikar , Lamine Mili

We consider two versions of discrete time totally asymmetric simple exclusion processes (TASEPs) with geometric and Bernoulli random hopping probabilities. For the process mixed with these and continuous time dynamics, we obtain a single…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Yuta Arai

In a geometric inhomogeneous random graph vertices are given by the points of a Poisson process and are equipped with independent weights following a heavy tailed distribution. Any pair of distinct vertices is independently forming an edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Emmanuel Jacob , Céline Kerriou , Amitai Linker , Peter Mörters

We have established a sparse estimation method for the generalized exponential marked Hawkes process by the penalized method to the ordinary method (P-O) estimator. Furthermore, we evaluated the probability of correct variable selection. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Masatoshi Goda

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

A recent result presented the expansion for the entropy rate of a Hidden Markov Process (HMP) as a power series in the noise variable $\eps$. The coefficients of the expansion around the noiseless ($\eps = 0$) limit were calculated up to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Or Zuk , Eytan Domany , Ido Kanter , Michael Aizenman

The Fr\'echet distance is a popular distance measure for curves which naturally lends itself to fundamental computational tasks, such as clustering, nearest-neighbor searching, and spherical range searching in the corresponding metric…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2018-08-07 Anne Driemel , Amer Krivošija

An important functional of Poisson random measure is the negative binomial process (NBP). We use NBP to introduce a generalized Poisson-Kingman distribution and its corresponding random discrete probability measure. This random discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Sadegh Chegini , Mahmoud Zarepour

We study the local statistics of orthogonal polynomial ensembles near a hard edge, subject to a multiplicative deformation of the measure. Probabilistically, this deformation corresponds to a position-dependent conditional thinning of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-02-23 Leslie Molag , Guilherme L. F. Silva , Lun Zhang

In this paper, we develop efficient randomized algorithms for estimating probabilistic robustness margin and constructing robustness degradation curve for uncertain dynamic systems. One remarkable feature of these algorithms is their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

Hybrid systems, and Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes in particular, are widely used to model and numerically study systems exhibiting multiple time scales in biochemical reaction kinetics and related areas. In this paper an almost…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-12-07 Martin G. Riedler

The extended Airy kernel describes the space-time correlation functions for the Airy process, which is the limiting process for a polynuclear growth model. The Airy functions themselves are given by integrals in which the exponents have a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Craig A. Tracy , Harold Widom

We consider a class of perpetuities which admit direct characterization of asymptotics of the key truncated moment. The class contains perpetuities without polynomial decay of tail probabilities and thus not satisfying Kesten's theorem. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Adam Jakubowski , Zbigniew S. Szewczak

In order to give quantitative estimates for approximating the ergodic limit, we investigate probabilistic limit behaviors of time-averaging estimators of numerical discretizations for a class of time-homogeneous Markov processes, by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Guoting Song

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

We investigate the limiting behavior of discrete determinantal point processes (DPPs) towards continuous DPPs when the size of the set to sample from goes to infinity. We propose a non-asymptotic characterization of this limit in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Hugo Jaquard , Nicolas Keriven

Random-matrix theory is used to study the mesoscopic fluctuations of the excitation gap in a metal grain or quantum dot induced by the proximity to a superconductor. We propose that the probability distribution of the gap is a universal…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. G. Vavilov , P. W. Brouwer , V. Ambegaokar , C. W. J. Beenakker