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Hidden Markov chains are widely applied statistical models of stochastic processes, from fundamental physics and chemistry to finance, health, and artificial intelligence. The hidden Markov processes they generate are notoriously…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-26 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

We consider the circular unitary ensemble with a Fisher-Hartwig singularity of both jump type and root type at $z=1$. A rescaling of the ensemble at the Fisher-Hartwig singularity leads to the confluent hypergeometric kernel. By studying…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-06-09 Shuai-Xia Xu , Yu-Qiu Zhao

In a celebrated paper, Dyson shows that the spectrum of an n\times n random Hermitian matrix, diffusing according to an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, evolves as n noncolliding Brownian motions held together by a drift term. The universal edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark Adler , Pierre van Moerbeke

We discuss a thinning and an embedding procedure to construct finite Gibbs processes with a given Papangelou intensity. Extending the approach in Hofer-Temmel (2019) and Hofer-Temmel and Houdebert (2019) we will use this to couple two…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Günter Last , Moritz Otto

We obtain the tail probability of generalized sub-Gaussian canonical processes. It can be viewed as a variant of the Bernstein-type inequality in the i.i.d case, and we further get a tighter bound of concentration inequality through…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Yiming Chen , Yuxuan Wang , Kefan Zhu

Our previous work on the one-dimensional KPZ equation with sharp wedge initial data is extended to the case of the joint height statistics at n spatial points for some common fixed time. Assuming a particular factorization, we compute an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-03-29 Sylvain Prolhac , Herbert Spohn

Given a Poisson process on a bounded interval, its random geometric graph is the graph whose vertices are the points of the Poisson process and edges exist between two points if and only if their distance is less than a fixed given…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-31 Laurent Decreusefond , Eduardo Ferraz

Consider a graph on randomly scattered points in an arbitrary space, with two points $x,y$ connected with probability $\phi(x,y)$. Suppose the number of points is large but the mean number of isolated points is $O(1)$. We give general…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Mathew D. Penrose

For a fixed integer $r\geqslant 3$, let $\mathbb{H}_r(n,p)$ be a random $r$-uniform hypergraph on the vertex set $[n]$, where each $r$-set is an edge randomly and independently with probability $p$. The random $r$-generalized triadic…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-10-30 Fang Tian , Yiting Yang

This paper explores large sample properties of the two-parameter $(\alpha,\theta)$ Poisson--Dirichlet Process in two contexts. In a Bayesian context of estimating an unknown probability measure, viewing this process as a natural extension…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-21 Lancelot F. James

This work introduces and compares approaches for estimating rare-event probabilities related to the number of edges in the random geometric graph on a Poisson point process. In the one-dimensional setting, we derive closed-form expressions…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Christian Hirsch , Sarat B. Moka , Thomas Taimre , Dirk P. Kroese

Bordered and framed Toeplitz/Hankel determinants have the same structure as Toeplitz/Hankel determinants except in small number of matrix rows and/or columns. We review these structured determinants and their connections to orthogonal…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2024-06-10 Roozbeh Gharakhloo , Karl Liechty

The "hole probability" that the zero set of the time dependent planar Gaussian analytic function f(z,t) = sum_(n=0)^infty a_n(t) z^n/sqrt(n!), where a_n(t) are i.i.d. complex valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, does not intersect a disk of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. Ben Hough

A family of random probabilities is defined and studied. This family contains the Dirichlet process as a special case, corresponding to an inner point in the appropriate parameter space. The extension makes it possible to have random means…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Nils Lid Hjort

In this paper, we consider a stochastic system described by a differential equation admitting a spatially varying random coefficient. The differential equation has been employed to model various static physics systems such as elastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Jingchen Liu , Xiang Zhou

In this paper we compute some of the higher order terms in the large-t asymptotic expansion of the Airy process two-point function, extending the previous work of Adler and van Moerbeke and Widom. We prove that it is possible to represent…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-14 Gregory Shinault , Craig A. Tracy

We consider a general honest homogeneous continuous-time Markov process with restarts. The process is forced to restart from a given distribution at time moments generated by an independent Poisson process. The motivation to study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-26 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Alexei Piunovskiy , Zhang Yi

We focus on a data sequence produced by repetitive quantum measurement on an internal hidden quantum system, and call it a hidden Markovian process. Using a quantum version of the Perron-Frobenius theorem, we derive novel upper and lower…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-08 Masahito Hayashi , Yuuya Yoshida

In this paper, we study rare events in spherical and Gaussian random geometric graphs in high dimensions. In these models, the vertices correspond to points sampled uniformly at random on the $d$ dimensional unit sphere or correspond to $d$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Prabhanka Deka , Fangzhou Luo , Baichuan Wu

Gaussian processes (GPs) are an important tool in machine learning and statistics with applications ranging from social and natural science through engineering. They constitute a powerful kernelized non-parametric method with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-20 Manuel Schürch , Dario Azzimonti , Alessio Benavoli , Marco Zaffalon
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