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Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

How do we compare between hypotheses that are entirely consistent with observations? The marginal likelihood (aka Bayesian evidence), which represents the probability of generating our observations from a prior, provides a distinctive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Sanae Lotfi , Pavel Izmailov , Gregory Benton , Micah Goldblum , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Correspondence analysis (CA) is a multivariate statistical tool used to visualize and interpret data dependencies. CA has found applications in fields ranging from epidemiology to social sciences. However, current methods used to perform CA…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-22 Hsiang Hsu , Salman Salamatian , Flavio P. Calmon

We consider testing marginal independence versus conditional independence in a trivariate Gaussian setting. The two models are non-nested and their intersection is a union of two marginal independences. We consider two sequences of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 F. Richard Guo , Thomas S. Richardson

We study a positive-definite function associated to a measure-preserving equivalence relation on a standard probability space and use it to measure quantitatively the proximity of subequivalence relations. This is combined with a recent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-06-04 A. Ioana , A. S. Kechris , T. Tsankov

The assessment of monotone dependence between random variables $X$ and $Y$ is a classical problem in statistics and a gamut of application domains. Consequently, researchers have sought measures of association that are invariant under…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Eva-Maria Walz , Andreas Eberl , Tilmann Gneiting

We establish a profound connection between coherent risk measures, a prominent object in quantitative finance, and uniform integrability, a fundamental concept in probability theory. Instead of working with absolute values of random…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Muqiao Huang , Ruodu Wang

Causal mediation analysis decomposes the total treatment effect into a portion operating through a hypothesized mediator and a residual direct portion. Identification of natural direct and indirect effects typically rests on the mediator…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yuki Ohnishi , Fan Li

Reward models play a fundamental role in aligning large language models with human preferences. Existing methods predominantly follow two paradigms: scalar discriminative preference models, which are efficient but lack interpretability, and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Zirui Zhu , Hailun Xu , Yang Luo , Yong Liu , Kanchan Sarkar , Kun Xu , Yang You

This Element offers a practical guide to estimating conditional marginal effects-how treatment effects vary with a moderating variable-using modern statistical methods. Commonly used approaches, such as linear interaction models, often…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Jiehan Liu , Ziyi Liu , Yiqing Xu

We consider the problem of estimating the marginal independence structure of a Bayesian network from observational data, learning an undirected graph we call the unconditional dependence graph. We show that unconditional dependence graphs…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Danai Deligeorgaki , Alex Markham , Pratik Misra , Liam Solus

This paper considers fixed effects estimation and inference in linear and nonlinear panel data models with random coefficients and endogenous regressors. The quantities of interest -- means, variances, and other moments of the random…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-16 Ivan Fernandez-Val , Joonhwah Lee

This paper offers a review of recent studies on the entanglement of free-fermion systems on graphs that take advantage of methods pertaining to signal processing and algebraic combinatorics. On the one hand, a parallel with time and band…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-13 Pierre-Antoine Bernard , Nicolas Crampé , Rafael I. Nepomechie , Gilles Parez , Luc Vinet

In this paper, we present a new technique for studying the dynamics of a finitely generated rational semigroup. Such a semigroup can be associated naturally to a certain holomorphic correspondence on $\mathbb{P}^1$. Then, results on the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Gautam Bharali , Shrihari Sridharan

In a regression setting with a response vector and given regressor vectors, a typical question is to what extent the response is related to these regressors, specifically, how well it can be approximated by a linear combination of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Lutz Duembgen , Laurie Davies

The goal of this paper is to show that a single robust estimator of the mean of a multivariate Gaussian distribution can enjoy five desirable properties. First, it is computationally tractable in the sense that it can be computed in a time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Arshak Minasyan

This paper proposes a maximum-likelihood approach to jointly estimate marginal conditional quantiles of multivariate response variables in a linear regression framework. We consider a slight reparameterization of the Multivariate Asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-06 Lea Petrella , Valentina Raponi

Temporally evolving systems are typically modeled by dynamic equations. A key challenge in accurate modeling is understanding the causal relationships between subsystems, as well as identifying the presence and influence of unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 András Telcs , Marcell T. Kurbucz , Antal Jakovác

This paper establishes sharp dimension-free concentration and expectation bounds for the deviation of a sample cross-covariance matrix from its mean. For sub-Gaussian random vectors, we prove a high-probability operator-norm bound governed…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

An inner-product Hilbert space formulation is defined over a domain of all permutations with ties upon the extended real line. We demonstrate this work to resolve the common first and second order biases found in the pervasive Kendall and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-21 Landon Hurley
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