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Causal mediation analysis is routinely conducted by applied researchers in a variety of disciplines. The goal of such an analysis is to investigate alternative causal mechanisms by examining the roles of intermediate variables that lie in…
These lecture notes introduce central notions of impredicative ordinal analysis, such as the Bachmann-Howard ordinal and the method of collapsing, which transforms uncountable proof trees into countable ones. Specifically, we analyze…
This paper examines three types of spurious regressions where both the dependent and independent variables contain deterministic trends, stochastic trends, or breaking trends. We show that the problem of spurious regression disappears if…
We study time-dependent mediators in survival analysis using a treatment separation approach due to Didelez [2019] and based on earlier work by Robins and Richardson [2011]. This approach avoids nested counterfactuals and crossworld…
An essential goal of program evaluation and scientific research is the investigation of causal mechanisms. Over the past several decades, causal mediation analysis has been used in medical and social sciences to decompose the treatment…
In 1859 Riemann (1826-1866) published his only paper on number theory. In this eight-page paper he obtained a formula for the number of primes less than or equal to a real number x, and revealed the deep connection between the distribution…
Spontaneously broken, flavour-dependent, gauged $U(1)$ extensions of the Standard Model (SM) have many phenomenological uses. We chart the space of solutions to the gauge anomaly cancellation equations in such extensions, for both the SM…
We study mean estimation for a Gaussian distribution with identity covariance in $\mathbb{R}^d$ under a missing data scheme termed realizable $\epsilon$-contamination model. In this model an adversary can choose a function $r(x)$ between 0…
Causal mediation analysis (CMA) is a powerful method to dissect the total effect of a treatment into direct and mediated effects within the potential outcome framework. This is important in many scientific applications to identify the…
Covariance regression analysis is an approach to linking the covariance of responses to a set of explanatory variables $X$, where $X$ can be a vector, matrix, or tensor. Most of the literature on this topic focuses on the "Fixed-$X$"…
This is a shortened version of an invited talk at the XIII International Workshop "Lie Theory and its Applications in Physics", June 17-23, Varna, Bulgaria. A covariant canonical gauge theory of gravity free from torsion is studied. Using a…
Decoding-free reranking methods that read relevance signals directly from LLM attention weights offer significant latency advantages over autoregressive approaches, yet suffer from attention score homogenization: middle-context documents…
This paper is devoted to the estimation of a partial graphical model with a structural Bayesian penalization. Precisely, we are interested in the linear regression setting where the estimation is made through the direct links between…
Linear causal disentanglement is a recent method in causal representation learning to describe a collection of observed variables via latent variables with causal dependencies between them. It can be viewed as a generalization of both…
We study causal self-attention dynamics -- a toy model for decoder Transformers -- which we interpret as a non-exchangeable interacting particle system. Adapting cumulant expansions to the triangular causal dependency structure of the…
Modeling the complex relationships between multiple categorical response variables as a function of predictors is a fundamental task in the analysis of categorical data. However, existing methods can be difficult to interpret and may lack…
Mediation analysis is a strategy for understanding the mechanisms by which treatments or interventions affect later outcomes. Mediation analysis is frequently applied in randomized trial settings, but typically assumes: a) that randomized…
Log-linear models are a classical tool for the analysis of contingency tables. In particular, the subclass of graphical log-linear models provides a general framework for modelling conditional independences. However, with the exception of…
For the last two decades, high-dimensional data and methods have proliferated throughout the literature. Yet, the classical technique of linear regression has not lost its usefulness in applications. In fact, many high-dimensional…
The paper considers the problem to estimate non-causal graphical models whose edges encode smoothing relations among the variables. We propose a new covariance extension problem and show that the solution minimizing the transportation…