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Background: Clinical prediction models are increasingly used to inform healthcare decisions, but determining the minimum sample size for their development remains a critical and unresolved challenge. Inadequate sample sizes can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Diana Shamsutdinova , Felix Zimmer , Oyebayo Ridwan Olaniran , Sarah Markham , Daniel Stahl , Gordon Forbes , Ewan Carr

Comparison of competing statistical models is an essential part of psychological research. From a Bayesian perspective, various approaches to model comparison and selection have been proposed in the literature. However, the applicability of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-28 Riko Kelter

Probabilistic Manifold Decomposition (PMD)\cite{doi:10.1137/25M1738863}, developed in our earlier work, provides a nonlinear model reduction by embedding high-dimensional dynamics onto low-dimensional probabilistic manifolds. The PMD has…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Jiaming Guo , Dunhui Xiao

We propose an objective Bayesian approach to the selection of covariates and their penalised splines transformations in generalised additive models. Specification of a reasonable default prior for the model parameters and combination with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-21 Daniel Sabanés Bové , Leonhard Held , Göran Kauermann

Gaussian process (GP) regression provides a flexible, nonparametric framework for probabilistic modeling, yet remains computationally demanding in large-scale applications. For one-dimensional data, state space (SS) models achieve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-07 Liang Ding , Rui Tuo , Lu Zhou

The first investigation is made of designs for screening experiments where the response variable is approximated by a generalised linear model. A Bayesian information capacity criterion is defined for the selection of designs that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-27 David C. Woods , James M. McGree , Susan M. Lewis

Motivation: Model selection is a ubiquitous challenge in statistics. For penalized models, model selection typically entails tuning hyperparameters to maximize a measure of fit or minimize out-of-sample prediction error. However, these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Priyam Das , Sarah Robinson , Christine B. Peterson

Latent space models (LSMs) are frequently used to model network data by embedding a network's nodes into a low-dimensional latent space; however, choosing the dimension of this space remains a challenge. To this end, we begin by formalizing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Joshua Daniel Loyal , Yuguo Chen

Design of experiments has traditionally relied on the frequentist hypothesis testing framework where the optimal size of the experiment is specified as the minimum sample size that guarantees a required level of power. Sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Shirin Golchi , Luke Hagar

The BayesMortalityPlus package provides a framework for modelling and predicting mortality data. The package includes tools for the construction of life tables based on Heligman-Pollard laws, and also on dynamic linear smoothers.…

In sequential decision-making (SDM) tasks, methods like reinforcement learning (RL) and heuristic search have made notable advances in specific cases. However, they often require extensive exploration and face challenges in generalizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Xue Yan , Yan Song , Xidong Feng , Mengyue Yang , Haifeng Zhang , Haitham Bou Ammar , Jun Wang

Generalized linear models (GLMs) -- such as logistic regression, Poisson regression, and robust regression -- provide interpretable models for diverse data types. Probabilistic approaches, particularly Bayesian ones, allow coherent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-19 Jonathan H. Huggins , Ryan P. Adams , Tamara Broderick

Extracting meaningful information from high-dimensional data poses a formidable modeling challenge, particularly when the data is obscured by noise or represented through different modalities. This research proposes a novel non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Navid Ziaei , Behzad Nazari , Uri T. Eden , Alik Widge , Ali Yousefi

Substantial research on structured sparsity has contributed to analysis of many different applications. However, there have been few Bayesian procedures among this work. Here, we develop a Bayesian model for structured sparsity that uses a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Barbara E. Engelhardt , Ryan P. Adams

Rgbp is an R package that provides estimates and verifiable confidence intervals for random effects in two-level conjugate hierarchical models for overdispersed Gaussian, Poisson, and Binomial data. Rgbp models aggregate data from k…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-23 Hyungsuk Tak , Joseph Kelly , Carl N. Morris

Understanding which concepts models can and cannot represent has been fundamental to many tasks: from effective and responsible use of models to detecting out of distribution data. We introduce Gaussian process probes (GPP), a unified and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Zi Wang , Alexander Ku , Jason Baldridge , Thomas L. Griffiths , Been Kim

Feature selection in reinforcement learning (RL), i.e. choosing basis functions such that useful approximations of the unkown value function can be obtained, is one of the main challenges in scaling RL to real-world applications. Here we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-01 Tobias Jung , Peter Stone

Semi-supervised learning is being extensively applied to estimate classifiers from training data in which not all the labels of the feature vectors are available. We present gmmsslm, an R package for estimating the Bayes' classifier from…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-18 Ziyang Lyu , Daniel Ahfock , Ryan Thompson , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

We study Bayesian group-regularized estimation in high-dimensional generalized linear models (GLMs) under a continuous spike-and-slab prior. Our framework covers both canonical and non-canonical link functions and subsumes logistic,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Ray Bai

The R package (R Core Team (2016)) genMOSS is specifically designed for the Bayesian analysis of genome-wide association study data. The package implements the mode oriented stochastic search (MOSS) procedure as well as a simple moving…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-24 Matthew Friedlander , Adrian Dobra , Helene Massam , Laurent Briollais
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