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A novel sequential inferential method for Bayesian dynamic generalised linear models is presented, addressing both univariate and multivariate $k$-parametric exponential families. It efficiently handles diverse responses, including…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Mariane Branco Alves , Helio S. Migon , Silvaneo V. Santos , Raíra Marotta

The choice of tuning parameters in Bayesian variable selection is a critical problem in modern statistics. In particular, for Bayesian linear regression with non-local priors, the scale parameter in the non-local prior density is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Xuan Cao , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh

Modern day engineering problems are ubiquitously characterized by sophisticated computer codes that map parameters or inputs to an underlying physical process. In other situations, experimental setups are used to model the physical process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-02 Raphael Gautier , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Dimitri Mavris

In the Bayesian framework power prior distributions are increasingly adopted in clinical trials and similar studies to incorporate external and past information, typically to inform the parameter associated to a treatment effect. Their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Roberto Macrì Demartino , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli , Ioannis Ntzoufras

We propose the BayesDose-Framework, a Bayesian approach for fast and accurate dose prediction in proton therapy. Our framework is based on a previously published deterministic LSTM model and is trained and evaluated on simulated beamlet…

Medical Physics · Physics 2023-07-04 Luke Voss , Ahmad Neishabouri , Tim Ortkamp , Andrea Mairani , Niklas Wahl

This paper proposes a new methodology for performing Bayesian inference in imaging inverse problems where the prior knowledge is available in the form of training data. Following the manifold hypothesis and adopting a generative modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-19 Matthew Holden , Marcelo Pereyra , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

In bioequivalence design, power analyses dictate how much data must be collected to detect the absence of clinically important effects. Power is computed as a tail probability in the sampling distribution of the pertinent test statistics.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-27 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

Posterior sampling allows exploitation of prior knowledge on the environment's transition dynamics to improve the sample efficiency of reinforcement learning. The prior is typically specified as a class of parametric distributions, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Mirco Mutti , Riccardo De Santi , Marcello Restelli , Alexander Marx , Giorgia Ramponi

We describe the R package EstemPMM, which implements the Polynomial Maximization Method (PMM) for parameter estimation under non-Gaussian errors. PMM exploits higher-order cumulants of the error distribution -- specifically the third…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Serhii Zabolotnii

A significant barrier to the widespread adoption of Bayesian inference is the specification of prior distributions and likelihoods, which often requires specialized statistical expertise. This paper investigates the feasibility of using a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Yongchao Huang

The main purpose of this paper is to introduce a new class of regression models for bounded continuous data, commonly encountered in applied research. The models, named the power logit regression models, assume that the response variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francisco Felipe Queiroz , Silvia Lopes Paula Ferrari

Identifying variables associated with clinical endpoints is of much interest in clinical trials. With the rapid growth of cell and gene therapy (CGT) and therapeutics for ultra-rare diseases, there is an urgent need for statistical methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Lingxuan Kong , Yumin Zhang , Chenkun Wang , Yaoyuan Vincent Tan

The FBMS R package facilitates Bayesian model selection and model averaging in complex regression settings by employing a variety of Monte Carlo model exploration methods. At its core, the package implements an efficient Mode Jumping Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Florian Frommlet , Jon Lachmann , Geir Storvik , Aliaksandr Hubin

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

It can be important in Bayesian analyses of complex models to construct informative prior distributions which reflect knowledge external to the data at hand. Nevertheless, how much prior information an analyst can elicit from an expert will…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-10 Xueou Wang , David J. Nott , C. C. Drovandi , Kerrie Mengersen , Michael Evans

Many psychological theories can be operationalized as linear inequality constraints on the parameters of multinomial distributions (e.g., discrete choice analysis). These constraints can be described in two equivalent ways: Either as the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Daniel W. Heck , Clintin P. Davis-Stober

Algorithms such as Differentially Private SGD enable training machine learning models with formal privacy guarantees. However, there is a discrepancy between the protection that such algorithms guarantee in theory and the protection they…

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

We present improved methods for calculating confidence intervals and $p$-values in situations where standard asymptotic approaches fail due to small sample sizes. We apply these techniques to a specific class of statistical model that can…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-11 Enzo Canonero , Alessandra Rosalba Brazzale , Glen Cowan
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