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Airborne diseases can be transmitted by infectious aerosols in the near field, i.e., in close proximity, or in the far field, i.e., by infectious aerosols that are well mixed within the indoor air. Is it possible to say which mode of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-25 Bardia Hejazi , Oliver Schlenczek , Birte Thiede , Gholamhossein Bagheri , Eberhard Bodenschatz

The world is still struggling in controlling and containing the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The medical conditions associated with SARS-CoV-2 infections have resulted in a surge in the number of patients…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-04 Hossein Aboutalebi , Maya Pavlova , Mohammad Javad Shafiee , Ali Sabri , Amer Alaref , Alexander Wong

As a consequence of missing data on tests for infection and imperfect accuracy of tests, reported rates of population infection by the SARS CoV-2 virus are lower than actual rates of infection. Hence, reported rates of severe illness…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-27 Charles F. Manski , Francesca Molinari

The emergence of new variants of SARS-CoV-2 is a major concern given their potential impact on the transmissibility and pathogenicity of the virus as well as the efficacy of therapeutic interventions. Here, we predict the mutability of all…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-11 Juan Rodriguez-Rivas , Giancarlo Croce , Maureen Muscat , Martin Weigt

Without a cure, vaccine, or proven long-term immunity against SARS-CoV-2, test-trace-and-isolate (TTI) strategies present a promising tool to contain its spread. For any TTI strategy, however, mitigation is challenged by pre- and…

We present high-fidelity numerical simulations of expiratory biosol transport during normal breathing under indoor, stagnant air conditions with and without a facial mask. We investigate mask efficacy to suppress the spread of saliva…

To support the ongoing management of viral respiratory diseases, many countries are moving towards an integrated model of surveillance for SARS-CoV-2, influenza, and other respiratory pathogens. While many surveillance approaches catalysed…

Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, government policy and healthcare implementation responses have been guided by reported positivity rates and counts of positive cases in the community. The selection bias of these data calls into question…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-12 Len Covello , Andrew Gelman , Yajuan Si , Siquan Wang

In this work, we derive a system of Boltzmann-type equations to describe the spread of SARS-CoV-2 virus at the microscopic scale, that is by modeling the human-to-human mechanisms of transmission. To this end, we consider two populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-09 Marzia Bisi , Silvia Lorenzani

Severe acute respiratory disease SARS-CoV-2 has had a found impact on public health systems and healthcare emergency response especially with respect to making decisions on the most effective measures to be taken at any given time. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

The drivers behind regional differences of SARS-CoV-2 spread on finer spatio-temporal scales are yet to be fully understood. Here we develop a data-driven modelling approach based on an age-structured compartmental model that compares 116…

Bale et al. [1] perform a numerical study of droplet/aerosol transport in the air to assess the probability of airborne transmission of COVID-19 from an infected person to a nearby healthy person. In their numerical study, the air flow…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-11-16 Masato Ida

The rapid spreading of SARS-CoV-2 and its dramatic consequences, are forcing policymakers to take strict measures in order to keep the population safe. At the same time, societal and economical interactions are to be safeguarded. A wide…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-02-17 Lorenzo Chicchi , Lorenzo Giambagli , Lorenzo Buffoni , Duccio Fanelli

Understanding the number of individuals who have been infected with the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, and the extent to which social distancing policies have been effective at limiting its spread, are critical for effective policy going…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-21 James Johndrow , Kristian Lum , Maria Gargiulo , Patrick Ball

The COVID-19 outbreak resulted in multiple waves of infections that have been associated with different SARS-CoV-2 variants. Studies have reported differential impact of the variants on respiratory health of patients. We explore whether…

COVID-19 remains a challenging global threat with ongoing waves of infections and clinical disease which have resulted millions of deaths and an enormous strain on health systems worldwide. Effective vaccines have been developed for the…

In this paper, we propose studying the disease spread mechanism in the atmosphere as an engineering problem. Aerosol transmission is the most significant mode among the viral transmission mechanisms that do not include physical contact,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-06 Maryam Khalid , Osama Amin , Sajid Ahmed , Basem Shihada , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

In this work we propose the design principles of a stochastic graph-based model for the simulation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. The proposed approach incorporates three sub-models, namely, the spatial model, the mobility model, and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-11 Christos Chondros , Stavros D. Nikolopoulos , Iosif Polenakis

A mathematical model for estimating the risk of airborne transmission of a respiratory infection such as COVID-19, is presented. The model employs basic concepts from fluid dynamics and incorporates the known scope of factors involved in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-28 Rajat Mittal , Charles Meneveau , Wen Wu

During 2020 and 2021, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission has been increasing amongst the world's population at an alarming rate. Reducing the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and other diseases that are spread in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Patrick Urrutia , David Wren , Chrysafis Vogiatzis , Ruriko Yoshida