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This paper presents recent methodological advances to perform simulation-based inference (SBI) of a general class of Bayesian hierarchical models (BHMs), while checking for model misspecification. Our approach is based on a two-step…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-03 Florent Leclercq

We describe a method for the identification of models for dynamical systems from observational data. The method is based on the concept of symbolic regression and uses genetic programming to evolve a system of ordinary differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Gabriel Kronberger , Lukas Kammerer , Michael Kommenda

Statistical inference in physics is often based on samples from a generator (sometimes referred to as a ``forward model") that emulate experimental data and depend on parameters of the underlying theory. Modern machine learning has…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-06-03 Chi Lung Cheng , Ranit Das , Runze Li , Radha Mastandrea , Vinicius Mikuni , Benjamin Nachman , David Shih , Gup Singh

This paper presents a method for investigating, through an automatic procedure, the (lack of) identifiability of parametrized dynamical models. This method takes into account constraints on parameters and returns parameters whose…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Nathalie Verdière , Sébastien Orange

This paper proposes a gradient descent based optimization method that relies on automatic differentiation for the computation of gradients. The method uses tools and techniques originally developed in the field of artificial neural networks…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-29 Georg Kordowich , Johann Jaeger

Simulation Based Inference (SBI) is shown to yield more accurate resonance parameter estimates than traditional chi-squared minimization in certain cases of model misspecification, demonstrated through a case study of pi-pi scattering and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-07-28 Daniel Sadasivan , Isaac Cordero , Andrew Graham , Cecilia Marsh , Daniel Kupcho , Melana Mourad , Maxim Mai

This paper presents a novel model-reference reinforcement learning algorithm for the intelligent tracking control of uncertain autonomous surface vehicles with collision avoidance. The proposed control algorithm combines a conventional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-18 Qingrui Zhang , Wei Pan , Vasso Reppa

Identifiability is a necessary condition for successful parameter estimation of dynamic system models. A major component of identifiability analysis is determining the identifiable parameter combinations, the functional forms for the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-07 Marisa C. Eisenberg , Michael A. L. Hayashi

Bayesian inference represents a principled way to incorporate Earth structure uncertainty in full-waveform moment tensor inversions, but traditional approaches generally require significant approximations that risk biasing the resulting…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-20 A. A. Saoulis , T. -S. Pham , A. M. G. Ferreira

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is a promising Bayesian inference framework that alleviates the need for analytic likelihoods to estimate posterior distributions. Recent advances using neural density estimators in SBI algorithms have…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Justine Zeghal , François Lanusse , Alexandre Boucaud , Benjamin Remy , Eric Aubourg

We address the problem of robot guided assembly tasks, by using a learning-based approach to identify contact model parameters for known and novel parts. First, a Variational Autoencoder (VAE) is used to extract geometric features of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Constantin Schempp , Christian Friedrich

Offroad vehicle movement has to contend with uneven and uncertain terrain which present challenges to path planning and motion control for both manned and unmanned ground vehicles. Knowledge of terrain properties can allow a vehicle to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Jake Buzhardt , Phanindra Tallapragada

Simulation-based inference (SBI) methods typically require fully observed data to infer parameters of models with intractable likelihood functions. However, datasets often contain missing values due to incomplete observations, data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yogesh Verma , Ayush Bharti , Vikas Garg

This paper addresses the trajectory-tracking problem under uncertain road-surface conditions for autonomous vehicles. We propose a stochastic nonlinear model predictive controller (SNMPC) that learns a tire--road friction model online using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Sean Vaskov , Rien Quirynen , Marcel Menner , Karl Berntorp

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

We develop the framework of Linear Simulation-based Inference (LSBI), an application of simulation-based inference where the likelihood is approximated by a Gaussian linear function of its parameters. We obtain analytical expressions for…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-08 Nicolas Mediato-Diaz , Will Handley

We consider the problem of a robot learning the mechanical properties of objects through physical interaction with the object, and introduce a practical, data-efficient approach for identifying the motion models of these objects. The…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-03-24 Shaojun Zhu , Andrew Kimmel , Abdeslam Boularias

An important problem for HCI researchers is to estimate the parameter values of a cognitive model from behavioral data. This is a difficult problem, because of the substantial complexity and variety in human behavioral strategies. We report…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-01-16 Antti Kangasrääsiö , Kumaripaba Athukorala , Andrew Howes , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski , Antti Oulasvirta

Accurately estimating parameters of physiological models is essential to achieving reliable digital twins. For Type 1 Diabetes, this is particularly challenging due to the complexity of glucose-insulin interactions. Traditional methods…

This paper presents a novel approach to Autonomous Vehicle (AV) control through the application of active inference, a theory derived from neuroscience that conceptualizes the brain as a predictive machine. Traditional autonomous driving…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Elahe Delavari , John Moore , Junho Hong , Jaerock Kwon