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We present parameter learning in a Gaussian variational inference setting using only noisy measurements (i.e., no groundtruth). This is demonstrated in the context of vehicle trajectory estimation, although the method we propose is general.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Jeremy N. Wong , David J. Yoon , Angela P. Schoellig , Timothy D. Barfoot

Nonlinear dynamic models are widely used for characterizing functional forms of processes that govern complex biological pathway systems. Over the past decade, validation and further development of these models became possible due to data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Itai Dattner , Shota Gugushvili , Harold Ship , Eberhard O. Voit

We developed a novel approach to identification and model testing in linear structural equation models (SEMs) based on auxiliary variables (AVs), which generalizes a widely-used family of methods known as instrumental variables. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-09 Bryant Chen , Daniel Kumor , Elias Bareinboim

This paper proposes a probabilistic Bayesian formulation for system identification (ID) and estimation of nonseparable Hamiltonian systems using stochastic dynamic models. Nonseparable Hamiltonian systems arise in models from diverse…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Harsh Sharma , Nicholas Galioto , Alex A. Gorodetsky , Boris Kramer

Nonlocal operators of fractional type are a popular modeling choice for applications that do not adhere to classical diffusive behavior; however, one major challenge in nonlocal simulations is the selection of model parameters. In this work…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Olena Burkovska , Christian Glusa , Marta D'Elia

This paper considers parameter estimation for nonlinear state-space models, which is an important but challenging problem. We address this challenge by employing a variational inference (VI) approach, which is a principled method that has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-15 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

In this work we propose a deep learning model, i.e., SAPI, to predict vehicle trajectories at intersections. SAPI uses an abstract way to represent and encode surrounding environment by utilizing information from real-time map,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Ethan Zhang , Hao Xiao , Yiqian Gan , Lei Wang

This paper considers the problem of parameter identification for a multirobot system. We wish to understand when is it feasible for an adversarial observer to reverse-engineer the parameters of tasks being performed by a team of robots by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-30 Jaskaran Singh Grover , Changliu Liu , Katia Sycara

We introduce a Bayesian system identification (SysID) framework for jointly estimating robot's state trajectories and physical parameters with high accuracy. It embeds physically consistent inverse dynamics, contact and loop-closure…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Sergi Martinez , Steve Tonneau , Carlos Mastalli

Single-molecule force spectroscopy (smFS) is a powerful approach to studying molecular self-organization. However, the coupling of the molecule with the ever-present experimental device introduces artifacts, that complicates the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-04-25 Lars Dingeldein , Pilar Cossio , Roberto Covino

Information about the vehicle sideslip angle is crucial for the successful implementation of advanced stability control systems. In production vehicles, sideslip angle is difficult to measure within the desired accuracy level because of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-11 Kanwar Bharat Singh

This paper presents a novel technique that allows for both computationally fast and sufficiently plausible simulation of vehicles with non-deformable tracks. The method is based on an effect we have called Contact Surface Motion. A…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Martin Pecka , Karel Zimmermann , Tomáš Svoboda

To support and guide an extensive experimental research into systems biology of signaling pathways, increasingly more mechanistic models are being developed with hopes of gaining further insight into biological processes. In order to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-05-28 Tina Toni , Michael P. H. Stumpf

Operating autonomous vehicles at the absolute limits of handling requires precise, real-time identification of highly non-linear tire dynamics. However, traditional online optimization methods suffer from "cold-start" initialization…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Zhiping Wu , Cheng Hu , Yiqin Wang , Lei Xie , Hongye Su

Sensitivity analyses reveal the influence of various modeling choices on the outcomes of statistical analyses. While theoretically appealing, they are overwhelmingly inefficient for complex Bayesian models. In this work, we propose…

Statistical models are central to machine learning with broad applicability across a range of downstream tasks. The models are controlled by free parameters that are typically estimated from data by maximum-likelihood estimation or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Vaidotas Simkus , Benjamin Rhodes , Michael U. Gutmann

Variational system identification is a new formulation of maximum likelihood for estimation of parameters of dynamical systems subject to process and measurement noise, such as aircraft flying in turbulence. This formulation is an…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-31 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

Simulation-based inference (SBI) methods tackle complex scientific models with challenging inverse problems. However, SBI models often face a significant hurdle due to their non-differentiable nature, which hampers the use of gradient-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-29 Vincent D. Zaballa , Elliot E. Hui

The evolution of Intelligent Transportation System in recent times necessitates the development of self-driving agents: the self-awareness consciousness. This paper aims to introduce a novel method to detect abnormalities based on internal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Divya Kanapram , Pablo Marin-Plaza , Lucio Marcenaro , David Martin , Arturo de la Escalera , Carlo Regazzoni

Structural monitoring for complex built environments often suffers from mismatch between design, laboratory testing, and actual built parameters. Additionally, real-world structural identification problems encounter many challenges. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Xuyang Li , Hamed Bolandi , Talal Salem , Nizar Lajnef , Vishnu Naresh Boddeti
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