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In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Human motion prediction (HMP) has emerged as a popular research topic due to its diverse applications, but it remains a challenging task due to the stochastic and aperiodic nature of future poses. Traditional methods rely on hand-crafted…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Jiexin Wang , Yujie Zhou , Wenwen Qiang , Ying Ba , Bing Su , Ji-Rong Wen

In spatial statistics, a common objective is to predict values of a spatial process at unobserved locations by exploiting spatial dependence. Kriging provides the best linear unbiased predictor using covariance functions and is often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-25 Wanfang Chen , Yuxiao Li , Brian J Reich , Ying Sun

We propose a novel sparse spatiotemporal dynamic generalized linear model for efficient inference and prediction of bicycle count data. Assuming Poisson distributed counts with spacetime-varying rates, we model the log-rate using…

Spatio-temporal tasks often encounter incomplete data arising from missing or inaccessible sensors, making spatio-temporal kriging crucial for inferring the completely missing temporal information. However, current models struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yujie Li , Zezhi Shao , Chengqing Yu , Tangwen Qian , Zhao Zhang , Yifan Du , Shaoming He , Fei Wang , Yongjun Xu

The increased demand for online prediction and the growing availability of large data sets drives the need for computationally efficient models. While exact Gaussian process regression shows various favorable theoretical properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Armin Lederer , Alejandro Jose Ordonez Conejo , Korbinian Maier , Wenxin Xiao , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

Spatial functional data arise in many settings, such as particulate matter curves observed at monitoring stations and age population curves at each areal unit. Most existing functional regression models have limited applicability because…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-25 Heesang Lee , Dagun Oh , Sunhwa Choi , Jaewoo Park

This paper is concerned with combined inference for point processes on the real line observed in a broken interval. For such processes, the classic history-based approach cannot be used. Instead, we adapt tools from sequential spatial point…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-04 M. N. M. van Lieshout

This study investigates how conditional normalizing flows can be applied to remote sensing data products in climate science for spatio-temporal prediction. The method is chosen due to its desired properties such as exact likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Christina Winkler , David Rolnick

Because most natural phenomena exhibit dependence at multiple scales like locations of earthquakes or forest fire occurrences, spatio-temporal single-scale point process models are unrealistic in many applications. This motivates us to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-18 Morteza Raeisi , Florent Bonneu , Edith Gabriel

The canonical technique for nonlinear modeling of spatial/point-referenced data is known as kriging in geostatistics, and as Gaussian Process (GP) regression for surrogate modeling and statistical learning. This article reviews many…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-16 Ryan B. Christianson , Ryan M. Pollyea , Robert B. Gramacy

In this paper we explore a covariance spectral modelling strategy for spatial-temporal processes which involves a spectral approach for time but a covariance approach for space.It facilitates the analysis of coherence between the temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-17 A. M. Mosammam , J. T. Kent

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

Spatio-temporal point process (STPP) is a stochastic collection of events accompanied with time and space. Due to computational complexities, existing solutions for STPPs compromise with conditional independence between time and space,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Chenyang Shao , Depeng Jin , Yong Li

In decommissioning projects of nuclear facilities, the radiological characterisation step aims to estimate the quantity and spatial distribution of different radionuclides. To carry out the estimation, measurements are performed on site to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-15 Martin Wieskotten , Marielle Crozet , Bertrand Iooss , Céline Lacaux , Amandine Marrel

In spatio-temporal point pattern analysis, one of the main statistical objectives is to estimate the first-order intensity function, i.e., the expected number of points per unit area and unit time. This estimation is usually carried out…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Jonatan A. González , Paula Moraga

Feature selection procedures for spatial point processes parametric intensity estimation have been recently developed since more and more applications involve a large number of covariates. In this paper, we investigate the setting where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-29 Achmad Choiruddin , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédérique Letué

We consider a stationary spatio-temporal random process and assume that we have a sample. By defining a sequence of discrete Fourier transforms at canonical frequencies at each location, and using these complex valued random varables as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-31 T. Subba Rao , Gy. Terdik

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a ubiquitous tool for geostatistical modeling with high levels of flexibility and interpretability, and the ability to make predictions at unseen spatial locations through a process called Kriging. Estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-12 Brandon R. Feng , Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Mohamed A. Abba