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This paper investigates the problem of informative path planning for a mobile robotic sensor network in spatially temporally distributed mapping. The robots are able to gather noisy measurements from an area of interest during their…

We introduce a sparse estimation in the ordinary kriging for functional data. The functional kriging predicts a feature given as a function at a location where the data are not observed by a linear combination of data observed at other…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Hidetoshi Matsui , Yuya Yamakawa

Spatial prediction in an arbitrary location, based on a spatial set of observations, is usually performed by Kriging, being the best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) in a least-square sense. In order to predict a continuous surface over a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Henning Omre , Mina Spremić

This article deals with the spatio-temporal sensors deployment in order to maximize detection probability of an intelligent and randomly moving target in an area under surveillance. Our work is based on the rare events simulation framework.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-02-24 Chouchane Mathieu , Paris Sébastien , Le Gland François , Ouladsine Mustapha

Modeling and predicting solar events, particularly the solar ramping event, is critical for improving situational awareness for solar power generation systems. It has been acknowledged that weather conditions such as temperature, humidity,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Minghe Zhang , Chen Xu , Andy Sun , Feng Qiu , Yao Xie

Kriging based on Gaussian random fields is widely used in reconstructing unknown functions. The kriging method has pointwise predictive distributions which are computationally simple. However, in many applications one would like to predict…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Wenjia Wang , Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

Spatiotemporal dynamics models are fundamental for various domains, from heat propagation in materials to oceanic and atmospheric flows. However, currently available neural network-based spatiotemporal modeling approaches fall short when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Valerii Iakovlev , Harri Lähdesmäki

We designed a model-based analysis to predict the occurrence of population patterns in distributed spiking activity. Using a maximum entropy principle with a Markovian assumption, we obtain a model that accounts for both spatial and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Olivier Marre , Sami El Boustani , Yves Fregnac , Alain Destexhe

This article proposes a new kriging that has a rational form. It is shown that the generalized least squares estimate of the mean from rational kriging is much more well behaved than that from ordinary kriging. Parameter estimation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 V. Roshan Joseph

Dirichlet processes and their extensions have reached a great popularity in Bayesian nonparametric statistics. They have also been introduced for spatial and spatio-temporal data, as a tool to analyze and predict surfaces. A popular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Clara Grazian

Gaussian processes (GP) and Kriging are widely used in traditional spatio-temporal mod-elling and prediction. These techniques typically presuppose that the data are observed from a stationary GP with parametric covariance structure.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-21 Pratik Nag , Ying Sun , Brian J Reich

Understanding and predicting environmental phenomena often requires the construction of spatio-temporal statistical models, which are typically Gaussian processes. A common assumption made on Gaussian processes is that of covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Quan Vu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Stephen J. Chuter

We design a Gaussian Process (GP) spatiotemporal model to capture features of day-ahead wind power forecasts. We work with hourly-scale day-ahead forecasts across hundreds of wind farm locations, with the main aim of constructing a fully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Qiqi Li , Mike Ludkovski

As an economical and healthy mode of shared transportation, Bike Sharing System (BSS) develops quickly in many big cities. An accurate prediction method can help BSS schedule resources in advance to meet the demands of users, and definitely…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Weiguo Pian , Yingbo Wu , Ziyi Kou

Spatiotemporal kriging is an important application in spatiotemporal data analysis, aiming to recover/interpolate signals for unsampled/unobserved locations based on observed signals. The principle challenge for spatiotemporal kriging is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Yuankai Wu , Dingyi Zhuang , Mengying Lei , Aurelie Labbe , Lijun Sun

This paper is motivated by a computer experiment conducted for optimizing residual stresses in the machining of metals. Although kriging is widely used in the analysis of computer experiments, it cannot be easily applied to model the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-08 Ying Hung , V. Roshan Joseph , Shreyes N. Melkote

An explicit optimal linear spatial predictor is derived. The spatial correlations are imposed by means of Gibbs energy functionals with explicit coupling coefficients instead of covariance matrices. The model inference process is based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 D. T. Hristopulos , S. N. Elogne

Determinantal point processes are models for regular spatial point patterns, with appealing probabilistic properties. We present their spatio-temporal counterparts and give examples of these models, based on spatio-temporal covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Nafiseh Vafaei , Mohammad Ghorbani , Masoud Ganji , Mari Myllymäki

We propose a Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Neural Hawkes Process for modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics. The proposed model extends continuous-time neural Hawkes processes by integrating spatial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Christopher Chukwuemeka , Hojun You , Mikyoung Jun

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas