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We describe an approach for identifying groups of dynamically similar locations in spatial time-series data based on a simple Markov transition model. We give maximum-likelihood, empirical Bayes, and fully Bayesian formulations of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-24 Edward B. Baskerville , Trevor Bedford , Robert C. Reiner , Mercedes Pascual

We develop a framework for causal inference with continuous spatiotemporal point-process outcomes under cell-level interventions and outcome spillover. Potential outcomes are indexed by full treatment allocations, and the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Conor Kresin , Duncan A. Clark , Louis Davis , Martin Hazelton

Traditional spatio-temporal models for areal data typically begin with spatial structure imposed at the level of random effects and later extend to include temporal dynamics. We propose an alternative hierarchical modeling framework that…

Extreme events with potential deadly outcomes, such as those organized by terror groups, are highly unpredictable in nature and an imminent threat to society. In particular, quantifying the likelihood of a terror attack occurring in an…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-02 Lekha Patel , Lyndsay Shand , J. Derek Tucker , Gabriel Huerta

The last decade has seen an explosion in data sources available for the monitoring and prediction of environmental phenomena. While several inferential methods have been developed that make predictions on the underlying process by combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Eun-Hye Yoo , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Michael G. Chipeta

We consider the problem of modeling the dynamics of continuous spatial-temporal processes represented by irregular samples through both space and time. Such processes occur in sensor networks, citizen science, multi-robot systems, and many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Erich Merrill , Stefan Lee , Li Fuxin , Thomas G. Dietterich , Alan Fern

Spatio-temporal hierarchical modeling is an extremely attractive way to model the spread of crime or terrorism data over a given region, especially when the observations are counts and must be modeled discretely. The spatio-temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-27 Nicholas J. Clark , Philip M. Dixon

Autonomous robots are increasingly deployed to estimate spatiotemporal fields (e.g., wind, temperature, gas concentration) that vary across space and time. We consider environments divided into non-overlapping regions with distinct spatial…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Kaleb Ben Naveed , Haejoon Lee , Dimitra Panagou

The Gaussian process is an indispensable tool for spatial data analysts. The onset of the "big data" era, however, has lead to the traditional Gaussian process being computationally infeasible for modern spatial data. As such, various…

Fitting regression models for intensity functions of spatial point processes is of great interest in ecological and epidemiological studies of association between spatially referenced events and geographical or environmental covariates.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-25 Yongtao Guan , Abdollah Jalilian , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Kriging is the predominant method used for spatial prediction, but relies on the assumption that predictions are linear combinations of the observations. Kriging often also relies on additional assumptions such as normality and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-29 Haoyu Wang , Yawen Guan , Brian J Reich

In the literature on spatial point processes, there is an emerging challenge in studying marked point processes with points being labelled by functions. In this paper, we focus on point processes living on linear networks and, from distinct…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Matthias Eckardt , Jorge Mateu , Mehdi Moradi

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new Kirk type iterative algorithm called Kirk multistep iteration and to study its convergence. We also prove some theorems related with the stability results for the Kirk-multistep and Kirk-SP…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Faik Gürsoy , Vatan Karakaya , B. E. Rhoades

This article concerns the predictive modeling for spatio-temporal data as well as model interpretation using data information in space and time. We develop a novel approach based on supervised dimension reduction for such data in order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-09 Heng-Hui Lue , ShengLi Tzeng

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Kriging (or Gaussian process regression) is a popular machine learning method for its flexibility and closed-form prediction expressions. However, one of the key challenges in applying kriging to engineering systems is that the available…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Jialei Chen , Zhehui Chen , Chuck Zhang , C. F. Jeff Wu

The majority of real-world processes are spatiotemporal, and the data generated by them exhibits both spatial and temporal evolution. Weather is one of the most essential processes in this domain, and weather forecasting has become a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Shakir Showkat Sofi , Ivan Oseledets

There is often latent network structure in spatial and temporal data and the tools of network analysis can yield fascinating insights into such data. In this paper, we develop a nonparametric method for network reconstruction from…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Baichuan Yuan , Hao Li , Andrea L. Bertozzi , P. Jeffrey Brantingham , Mason A. Porter

This paper considers some designs for sampling and interventions in dynamic networks and spatial temporal settings. The sample spreads through the population largely by tracing network links, although random sampling or spatial designs may…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-05 Steven K. Thompson

Monitoring daily weather fields is critical for climate science, agriculture, and environmental planning, yet fully probabilistic spatio-temporal models become computationally prohibitive at continental scale. We present a case study on…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist
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