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We propose a new class of parameterizations for spatio-temporal point processes which leverage Neural ODEs as a computational method and enable flexible, high-fidelity models of discrete events that are localized in continuous time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Ricky T. Q. Chen , Brandon Amos , Maximilian Nickel

Structural reliability methods aim at computing the probability of failure of systems with respect to some prescribed performance functions. In modern engineering such functions usually resort to running an expensive-to-evaluate…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-10 V. Dubourg , F. Deheeger , B. Sudret

Spatial-temporal forecasting plays an important role in many real-world applications, such as traffic forecasting, air pollutant forecasting, crowd-flow forecasting, and so on. State-of-the-art spatial-temporal forecasting models take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Xinyu Su , Jianzhong Qi , Egemen Tanin , Yanchuan Chang , Majid Sarvi

The analysis of spatial point patterns that occur in the network domain have recently gained much attraction and various intensity functions and measures have been proposed. However, the linkage of spatial network statistics to regression…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-25 Matthias Eckardt , Jorge Mateu

The solutions of Hamiltonian equations are known to describe the underlying phase space of a mechanical system. In this article, we propose a novel spatio-temporal model using a strategic modification of the Hamiltonian equations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Satyaki Mazumder , Sayantan Banerjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Functional Ordinary Kriging is the most widely used method to predict a curve at a given spatial point. However, uncertainty remains an open issue. In this article a distribution-free prediction method based on two different modulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-01 Anna De Magistris , Andrea Diana , Elvira Romano

This paper investigates the modeling of an important class of degradation data, which are collected from a spatial domain over time; for example, the surface quality degradation. Like many existing time-dependent stochastic degradation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-29 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Jayant Kalagnanam

We study the problem of modeling and inference for spatio-temporal count processes. Our approach uses parsimonious parameterisations of multivariate autoregressive count time series models, including possible regression on covariates. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Steffen Maletz , Konstantinos Fokianos , Roland Fried

Although spatial prediction is widely used for urban and environmental monitoring, its accuracy is often unsatisfactory if only a small number of samples are available in the study area. The objective of this study was to improve the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-22 Daisuke Murakami , Mami Kajita , Seiji Kajita

Kriging is an efficient machine-learning tool, which allows to obtain an approximate response of an investigated phenomenon on the whole parametric space. Adaptive schemes provide a the ability to guide the experiment yielding new sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Jan N. Fuhg , Amelie Fau

Spatio-temporal systems exhibiting multi-scale behaviour are common in applications ranging from cyber-physical systems to systems biology, yet they present formidable challenges for computational modelling and analysis. Here we consider a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-01 Michalis Michaelides , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

This paper presents a new approach for Gaussian process (GP) regression for large datasets. The approach involves partitioning the regression input domain into multiple local regions with a different local GP model fitted in each region.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Chiwoo Park , Daniel Apley

Incipient slip detection provides critical feedback for robotic grasping and manipulation tasks. However, maintaining its adaptability under diverse object properties and complex working conditions remains challenging. This article…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Mingxuan Li , Lunwei Zhang , Qiyin Huang , Tiemin Li , Yao Jiang

Spatial regression or geographically weighted regression models have been widely adopted to capture the effects of auxiliary information on a response variable of interest over a region. In contrast, relationships between response and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daisuke Murakami

Human movements in urban areas are essential to understand human-environment interactions. However, activities and associated movements are full of uncertainties due to the complexity of a city. In this paper, we propose a novel…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Yuqin Jiang , Andrey A. Popov , Zhenlong Li , Michael E. Hodgson , Binghu Huang

Spatiotemporal data analysis is pivotal across various domains, such as transportation, meteorology, and healthcare. The data collected in real-world scenarios are often incomplete due to device malfunctions and network errors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yakun Chen , Kaize Shi , Zhangkai Wu , Juan Chen , Xianzhi Wang , Julian McAuley , Guandong Xu , Shui Yu

The interpolation of spatial data can be of tremendous value in various applications, such as forecasting weather from only a few measurements of meteorological or remote sensing data. Existing methods for spatial interpolation, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Laurens Arp

We consider modeling of angular or directional data viewed as a linear variable wrapped onto a unit circle. In particular, we focus on the spatio-temporal context, motivated by a collection of wave directions obtained as computer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Alan E. Gelfand

A spatial curve dynamical model framework is adopted for functional prediction of counts in a spatiotemporal log-Gaussian Cox process model. Our spatial functional estimation approach handles both wavelet-based heterogeneity analysis in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-09 Torres-Signes , M. P. Frías , J. Mateu , M. D. Ruiz-Medina

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier