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Bayesian inference on structured models typically relies on the ability to infer posterior distributions of underlying hidden variables. However, inference in implicit models or complex posterior distributions is hard. A popular tool for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-16 Theofanis Karaletsos

Persuasion studies how a principal can influence agents' decisions via strategic information revelation --- often described as a signaling scheme --- in order to yield the most desirable equilibrium outcome. Recently, there has been a large…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Haifeng Xu

We explore whether ambiguous communication can be beneficial to the sender in a persuasion problem, when the receiver (and possibly the sender) is ambiguity averse. Our analysis highlights the necessity of using a collection of experiments…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-19 Xiaoyu Cheng , Peter Klibanoff , Sujoy Mukerji , Ludovic Renou

Strategic information disclosure, in its simplest form, considers a game between an information provider (sender) who has access to some private information that an information receiver is interested in. While the receiver takes an action…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Raj Kiriti Velicheti , Melih Bastopcu , S. Rasoul Etesami , Tamer Başar

We consider the multi-sender persuasion problem: multiple players with informational advantage signal to convince a single self-interested actor to take certain actions. This problem generalizes the seminal Bayesian Persuasion framework and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Safwan Hossain , Tonghan Wang , Tao Lin , Yiling Chen , David C. Parkes , Haifeng Xu

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) is crucial for real-world applications where exploration can be costly or unsafe. However, offline learned policies are often suboptimal, and further online fine-tuning is required. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Hao Hu , Yiqin Yang , Jianing Ye , Chengjie Wu , Ziqing Mai , Yujing Hu , Tangjie Lv , Changjie Fan , Qianchuan Zhao , Chongjie Zhang

We study the algorithmics of information structure design -- a.k.a. persuasion or signaling -- in a fundamental special case introduced by Arieli and Babichenko: multiple agents, binary actions, and no inter-agent externalities. Unlike…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Shaddin Dughmi , Haifeng Xu

We focus on the scenario in which an agent can exploit his information advantage to manipulate the outcome of an election. In particular, we study district-based elections with two candidates, in which the winner of the election is the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Matteo Castiglioni , Nicola Gatti

Learning in POMDPs is known to be significantly harder than in MDPs. In this paper, we consider the online learning problem for episodic POMDPs with unknown transition and observation models. We propose a Posterior Sampling-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Dengwang Tang , Dongze Ye , Rahul Jain , Ashutosh Nayyar , Pierluigi Nuzzo

We study an online forecasting setting in which, over $T$ rounds, $N$ strategic experts each report a forecast to a mechanism, the mechanism selects one forecast, and then the outcome is revealed. In any given round, each expert has a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Junpei Komiyama , Nishant A. Mehta , Ali Mortazavi

This paper studies distributed online learning under Byzantine attacks. The performance of an online learning algorithm is often characterized by (adversarial) regret, which evaluates the quality of one-step-ahead decision-making when an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Xingrong Dong , Zhaoxian Wu , Qing Ling , Zhi Tian

A sender commits to an experiment to persuade a receiver. Accounting for the sender's experiment-choice incentives, and not presupposing a receiver tie-breaking rule when indifferent, we characterize when the sender's equilibrium payoff is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-02-13 Elliot Lipnowski , Doron Ravid , Denis Shishkin

We study a Bayesian persuasion problem with externalities. In this model, a principal sends signals to inform multiple agents about the state of the world. Simultaneously, due to the existence of externalities in the agents' utilities, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Jonathan Shaki , Jiarui Gan , Sarit Kraus

Bayesian learning is built on an assumption that the model space contains a true reflection of the data generating mechanism. This assumption is problematic, particularly in complex data environments. Here we present a Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-05 S. P. Lyddon , S. G. Walker , C. C. Holmes

Most PAC-Bayesian bounds hold in the batch learning setting where data is collected at once, prior to inference or prediction. This somewhat departs from many contemporary learning problems where data streams are collected and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Maxime Haddouche , Benjamin Guedj

Deep learning is envisioned to play a key role in the design of future wireless receivers. A popular approach to design learning-aided receivers combines deep neural networks (DNNs) with traditional model-based receiver algorithms,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Tomer Raviv , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone , Nir Shlezinger

Algorithmic recourse aims to recommend an informative feedback to overturn an unfavorable machine learning decision. We introduce in this paper the Bayesian recourse, a model-agnostic recourse that minimizes the posterior probability odds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Tuan-Duy H. Nguyen , Ngoc Bui , Duy Nguyen , Man-Chung Yue , Viet Anh Nguyen

In this paper, we expand the Bayesian persuasion framework to account for unobserved confounding variables in sender-receiver interactions. While traditional models assume that belief updates follow Bayesian principles, real-world scenarios…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Nishanth Venkatesh S. , Heeseung Bang , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

This paper develops a data-driven approach to Bayesian persuasion. The receiver is privately informed about the prior distribution of the state of the world, the sender knows the receiver's preferences but does not know the distribution of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-06 Maxwell Rosenthal

The commitment power of senders distinguishes Bayesian persuasion problems from other games with (strategic) communication. Persuasion games with multiple senders have largely studied simultaneous commitment and signalling settings.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-02-15 Shih-Tang Su , Vijay G. Subramanian