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Consider two urns, $A$ and $B$, where initially $A$ contains a large number $n$ of balls and $B$ is empty. At each step, with equal probability, either we pick a ball at random in $A$ and place it in $B$, or vice-versa (provided of course…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-26 Jean Bertoin

Measure-valued P\'olya urn sequences (MVPS) are a generalization of the observation processes generated by $k$-color P\'olya urn models, where the space of colors $\mathbb{X}$ is a complete separable metric space and the urn composition is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Hristo Sariev , Mladen Savov

In a recent paper Velleman and Warrington analyzed the expected values of some of the parameters in a memory game, namely, the length of the game, the waiting time for the first match, and the number of lucky moves. In this paper we…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-11-24 Huseyin Acan , Pawel Hitczenko

A competition process is a continuous time Markov chain that can be interpreted as a system of interacting birth-and-death processes, the components of which evolve subject to a competitive interaction. This paper is devoted to the study of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Serguei Popov , Vadim Shcherbakov , Stanislav Volkov

We introduce a general two colour interacting urn model on a finite directed graph, where each urn at a node, reinforces all the urns in its out-neighbours according to a fixed, non-negative and balanced reinforcement matrix. We show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Gursharn Kaur , Neeraja Sahasrabudhe

We consider a Polya urn, started with b black and w white balls, where b>w. We compute the probability that there are ever the same number of black and white balls in the urn, and show that it is twice the probability of getting no more…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-17 Timothy C. Wallstrom

The orientational memory of particles can serve as an effective measure of diffusivity, spreading, and search efficiency in complex stochastic processes. We develop a theoretical framework to describe the decay of directional correlations…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-09-05 Zeinab Sadjadi , M. Reza Shaebani

We consider a random trial-based telegraph process, which describes a motion on the real line with two constant velocities along opposite directions. At each epoch of the underlying counting process the new velocity is determined by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Irene Crimaldi , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Antonella Iuliano , Barbara Martinucci

We consider predictive inference using a class of temporally dependent Dirichlet processes driven by Fleming--Viot diffusions, which have a natural bearing in Bayesian nonparametrics and lend the resulting family of random probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Filippo Ascolani , Antonio Lijoi , Matteo Ruggiero

We introduce and discuss a special type of feedback interacting urn model with deterministic interaction. This is a generalisation of the very well known Eggenberger and Polya (1923) urn model. In our model, balls are added to a particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Krishanu Maulik , Manit Paul

Many decision-making problems naturally exhibit pronounced structures inherited from the characteristics of the underlying environment. In a Markov decision process model, for example, two distinct states can have inherently related…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Bastian Alt , Adrian Šošić , Heinz Koeppl

We consider the simple random walk (or P\'olya walk) on the one-dimensional lattice subject to stochastic resetting to the origin with probability $r$ at each time step. The focus is on the joint statistics of the numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

The probabilistic method is a technique for proving combinatorial existence results by means of showing that a randomly chosen object has the desired properties with positive probability. A particularly powerful probabilistic tool is the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Anton Bernshteyn

We give bounds for (central) moments for balanced P\'olya urns under very general conditions. In some cases, these bounds imply that moment convergence holds in earlier known results on asymptotic distribution. The results overlap with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Svante Janson

P\'olya's enumeration theorem is concerned with counting labeled sets up to symmetry. Given a finite group acting on a finite set of labeled elements it states that the number of labeled sets up to symmetry is given by a polynomial in the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-01-29 Katharina Jochemko

The recurrence properties of random walks can be characterized by P\'{o}lya number, i.e., the probability that the walker has returned to the origin at least once. In this paper, we consider recurrence properties for a general 1D random…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 Xiao-Kun Zhang , Jing Wan , Jing-Ju Lu , Xin-Ping Xu

We study a new class of time inhomogeneous P\'olya-type urn schemes and give optimal rates of convergence for the distribution of the properly scaled number of balls of a given color to nearly the full class of generalized gamma…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

An autoregressive model with a power-law type memory kernel is studied as a stochastic process that exhibits a self-affine-fractal-like behavior for a small time scale. We find numerically that the root-mean-square displacement for the time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Haruo Honjo

A well-studied randomized election algorithm proceeds as follows: In each round the remaining candidates each toss a coin and leave the competition if they obtain heads. Of interest is the number of rounds required and the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Rudolf Grübel , Klaas Hagemann

We investigate equilibrium statistical properties of urn models with disorder. Two urn models are proposed; one belongs to the Ehrenfest class, and the other corresponds to the Monkey class. These models are introduced from the view point…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-02-27 Jun-ichi Inoue , Jun Ohkubo
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