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An urn contains balls of d colors. At each time, a ball is drawn and then replaced together with a random number of balls of the same color. Assuming that some colors are dominated by others, we prove central limit theorems. Some…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-06 Patrizia Berti , Irene Crimaldi , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

This paper extends the link between stochastic approximation (SA) theory and randomized urn models developed in Laruelle, Pag{\`e}s (2013), and their applications to clinical trials introduced in Bai, HU (1999,2005) and Bai, Hu, Shen…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Sophie Laruelle , Gilles Pagès

Urn models play an important role to express various basic ideas in probability theory. Here we extend this urn model with tubes. An urn contains coloured balls, which can be drawn with probabilities proportional to the numbers of balls of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Bart Jacobs

This paper develops an analytic theory for the study of some Polya urns with random rules. The idea is to extend the isomorphism theorem in Flajolet et al. (2006), which connects deterministic balanced urns to a differential system for the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Basile Morcrette , Hosam M. Mahmoud

We consider a coupled Polya's urn scheme for social dynamics on networks. Agents hold continuum-valued opinions on a two-state issue and randomly converse with their neighbors on a graph, agreeing on one of the two states. The probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Andrew Melchionna

This paper concerns the long term behaviour of a growth model describing a random sequential deposition of particles on a finite graph. The probability of allocating a particle at a vertex is proportional to a log-linear function of numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-13 Mikhail Menshikov , Vadim Shcherbakov

For the plain Polya urn with two colors, black and white, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the number of white balls assuming that the initial number of black balls is large. Depending on the initial number of white balls,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-03 Dimitris Cheliotis , Dimitra Kouloumpou

Drawing (a multiset of) coloured balls from an urn is one of the most basic models in discrete probability theory. Three modes of drawing are commonly distinguished: multinomial (draw-replace), hypergeometric (draw-delete), and Polya…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Bart Jacobs

Path-dependent stochastic processes are often non-ergodic and observables can no longer be computed within the ensemble picture. The resulting mathematical difficulties pose severe limits to the analytical understanding of path-dependent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-26 Rudolf Hanel , Bernat Corominas-Murtra , Stefan Thurner

Consider an urn filled with balls, each labeled with one of several possible collective decisions. Now, let a random voter draw two balls from the urn and pick her more preferred as the collective decision. Relabel the losing ball with the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-28 Florian Brandl , Felix Brandt

The Generalized P\'{o}lya Urn (GPU) is a popular urn model which is widely used in many disciplines. In particular, it is extensively used in treatment allocation schemes in clinical trials. In this paper, we propose a sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Li-X. Zhang , Feifang Hu , Siu Hung Cheung

The voter model with memory-dependent dynamics is theoretically and numerically studied at the mean-field level. The `internal age', or time an individual spends holding the same state, is added to the set of binary states of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-06 Antonio F. Peralta , Nagi Khalil , Raul Toral

An urn contains black and red balls. Let $Z_n$ be the proportion of black balls at time $n$ and $0\leq L<U\leq 1$ random barriers. At each time $n$, a ball $b_n$ is drawn. If $b_n$ is black and $Z_{n-1}<U$, then $b_n$ is replaced together…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-27 Patrizia Berti , Irene Crimaldi , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

The randomized play-the-winner (RPW) model is a generalized P\'olya Urn process with broad applications ranging from clinical trials to molecular evolution. We derive an exact expression for the variance of the RPW model by transforming the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-02 Ivan Specht , Michael Mitzenmacher

This article describes a purely analytic approach to urn models of the generalized or extended P\'olya-Eggenberger type, in the case of two types of balls and constant ``balance,'' that is, constant row sum. The treatment starts from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Philippe Flajolet , Joaquim Gabarro , Helmut Pekari

Sufficient conditions are developed for a class of generalized Polya urn schemes ensuring exchangeability. The extended class includes the Blackwell-MacQueen Polya urn and the urn schemes for the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hemant Ishwaran , Mahmoud Zarepour

We complete the study of the model introduced in [11]. It is a two-color urn model with multiple drawing and random (non-balanced) time-dependent reinforcement matrix. The number of sampled balls at each time-step is random. We identify the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-05 Irene Crimaldi , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida G. Minelli

Despite the coupon collector's problem has simple probabilistic solution using inclusion/exclusion principle \cite{PolyaUrn}, starting from a particular type of recurrence differential equation it is used an analytic approach to recover…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-06 Andrea Monsellato

P\'{o}lya's conjecture on the eigenvalues of the Laplacian has been one of the core problems in spectral geometry. Building upon the recent breakthrough works on P\'{o}lya's conjecture for balls and annuli by Filonov, Levitin, Polterovich…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Jingwei Guo , Changxing Miao , Weiwei Wang , Guoqing Zhan

In the present paper we show that in P\'{o}lya's urn model, for an arbitrarily fixed initial distribution of the urn, the corresponding random variables satisfy a convex ordering with respect to the replacement parameter. As an application,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Diana Meleşteu , Mihai N. Pascu , Nicolae R. Pascu
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