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Adaptive randomly reinforced urn (ARRU) is a two-color urn model where the updating process is defined by a sequence of non-negative random vectors $\{(D_{1,n}, D_{2,n});n\geq1\}$ and randomly evolving thresholds which utilize accruing…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-27 Giacomo Aletti , Andrea Ghiglietti , Anand Vidyashankar

We study an urn process with two urns, initialized with a ball each. Balls are added sequentially, the urn being chosen independently with probability proportional to the $\alpha^{th}$ power $(\alpha >1)$ of the existing number of balls. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Svante Janson , Subhabrata Sen , Joel Spencer

In this paper, we consider a multi-drawing urn model with random addition. At each discrete time step, we draw a sample of m balls. According to the composition of the drawn colors, we return the balls together with a random number of balls…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Rafik Aguech , Nabil Lasmar , Olfa Selmi

We answer Problem 11.1 of Janson arXiv:1803.04207 on P\'olya urns associated with stable random walk. Our proof use neither martingales nor trees, but an approximation with a differential equation.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Arthur Blanc-Renaudie

Consider the multicolored urn model where, after every draw, balls of the different colors are added to the urn in a proportion determined by a given stochastic replacement matrix. We consider some special replacement matrices which are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-09 Arup Bose , Amites Dasgupta , Krishanu Maulik

In classical urn models, one usually draws one ball with replacement at each time unit and then adds one ball of the same colour. Given a weight sequence $(w_k)_{k\in\N}$, the probability of drawing a ball of a certain colour is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-18 Mickaël Launay

The fringe of a B-tree with parameter $m$ is considered as a particular P\'olya urn with $m$ colors. More precisely, the asymptotic behaviour of this fringe, when the number of stored keys tends to infinity, is studied through the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-23 Brigitte Chauvin , Danièle Gardy , Nicolas Pouyanne , Dai-Hai Ton-That

We study a class of unbalanced constant-differentials P\'olya processes on white and blue balls. We show that the number of white balls, the number of blue balls, and the total number of balls, when appropriately scaled, all converge in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Hosam M. Mahmoud , Panpan Zhang

Early investigation of P\'{o}lya urns considered drawing balls one at a time. In the last two decades, several authors considered multiple drawing in each step, but mostly for schemes on two colors. In this manuscript, we consider multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Joshua Sparks , Markus Kuba , Srinivasan Balaji , Hosam Mahmoud

We consider triangular P\'olya urns and show under very weak conditions a general strong limit theorem of the form $X_{ni}/a_{ni}\to \mathcal{X}_i$ a.s., where $X_{ni}$ is the number of balls of colour $i$ after $n$ draws; the constants…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Svante Janson

Cumulative advantage (CA) refers to the notion that accumulated resources foster the accumulation of further resources in competitions, a phenomenon that has been empirically observed in various contexts. The oldest and arguably simplest…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-04-11 Bo Jiang , Daniel R. Figueiredo , Bruno Ribeiro , Don Towsley

We consider, as proposed and studied in Hofstad et.\ al.\ \cite{HHKR}, a class of graph-based "interacting urn"-type Polya urn model inspired by neuronal processing in the brain where a signal enters the brain at some (randomly) chosen…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Arnab Basu , Michel Benaim

Consider an urn initially containing $b$ black and $w$ white balls. Select a ball at random and observe its color. If it is black, stop. Otherwise, return the white ball together with another white ball to the urn. Continue selecting at…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Norbert Henze , Mark P. Holmes

We introduce an extension of the P\'olya tree approach for constructing distributions on the space of probability measures. By using optional stopping and optional choice of splitting variables, the construction gives rise to random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Wing H. Wong , Li Ma

We introduce the P\'olya Web, a system of coalescing random walks based on the classic P\'olya urn model. This construction serves as an analogue to the web of coalescing random walks studied by T\'oth and Werner (1998), replacing simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Ákos Urbán

Consider an urn containing balls labeled with integer values. Define a discrete-time random process by drawing two balls, one at a time and with replacement, and noting the labels. Add a new ball labeled with the sum of the two drawn…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Mackenzie Simper

In this work we discuss two urn models with general weight sequences $(A,B)$ associated to them, $A=(\alpha_n)_{n\in\N}$ and $B=(\beta_m)_{m\in\N}$, generalizing two well known P\'olya-Eggenberger urn models, namely the so-called sampling…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-05-11 Markus Kuba

We review some facts, properties and applications of the urn of Hill, Lane and Sudderth, a paradigmatic model of stochastic process with memory where the urn evolution is as follows: consider an urn of given capacity, at each step a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Simone Franchini

We propose a stochastic model of opinion exchange in networks. A finite set of agents is organized in a fixed network structure. There is a binary state of the world and each agent receives a private signal on the state. We model beliefs as…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Emilien Macault

Although the P\'olya enumeration theorem has been used extensively for decades, an optimized, purely numerical algorithm for calculating its coefficients is not readily available. We present such an algorithm for finding the number of…