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We consider the control of the COVID-19 pandemic through a standard SIR compartmental model. This control is induced by the aggregation of individuals' decisions to limit their social interactions: when the epidemic is ongoing, an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-22 Romuald Elie , Emma Hubert , Gabriel Turinici

Epidemics of infectious diseases posing a serious risk to human health have occurred throughout history. During recent epidemics there has been much debate about policy, including how and when to impose restrictions on behaviour.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-08 Simon K. Schnyder , John J. Molina , Ryoichi Yamamoto , Matthew S. Turner

We investigate, through a fractional mathematical model, the effects of physical distance on the SARS-CoV-2 virus transmission. Two controls are considered in our model for eradication of the spread of COVID-19: media education, through…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Samia Bushnaq , Tareq Saeed , Delfim F. M. Torres , Anwar Zeb

We study the problem of optimal control of the stochastic SIR model. Models of this type are used in mathematical epidemiology to capture the time evolution of highly infectious diseases such as COVID-19. Our approach relies on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-04 Andrew Lesniewski

For the description of a pandemic mathematical models could be interesting. Both for physicians and politicians as a base for decisions to treat the disease. The responsible estimation of parameters is a main issue of mathematical pandemic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-15 Günter Bärwolff

Although modeling studies are focused on the control of SIR-based systems describing epidemic data sets (particularly the COVID-19), few of them present a formal dynamic characterization in terms of equilibrium sets and stability. Such…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-03 A. H. González , A. L. Anderson , A. Ferramosca , E. A. Hernandez-Vargas

Mass public quarantining, colloquially known as a lock-down, is a non-pharmaceutical intervention to check spread of disease. This paper presents ESOP (Epidemiologically and Socio-economically Optimal Policies), a novel application of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-16 Amit Chandak , Debojyoti Dey , Bhaskar Mukhoty , Purushottam Kar

A mathematical model for the COVID-19 pandemic spread, which integrates age-structured Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Deceased dynamics with real mobile phone data accounting for the population mobility, is presented. The dynamical…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-24 Ritabrata Dutta , Susana Gomes , Dante Kalise , Lorenzo Pacchiardi

The COVID-19 pandemic left its unique mark on the 21st century as one of the most significant disasters in history, triggering governments all over the world to respond with a wide range of interventions. However, these restrictions come…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Assem Zhunis , Tung-Duong Mai , Sundong Kim

Currently there are many attempts around the world to use computers, smartphones, tablets and other electronic devices in order to stop the spread of COVID-19. Most of these attempts focus on collecting information about infected people, in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Alexandru Popa

With the outbreak of COVID-19, how to mitigate and suppress its spread is a big issue to the government. Department of public health need powerful models to model and predict the trend and scale of such pandemic. And models that could…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Wang Pan , Qipu Deng , Jiadong Li , Zhi Wang , Wenwu Zhu

In the context of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, mathematical modelling has played a fundamental role for making forecasts, simulating scenarios and evaluating the impact of preventive political, social and pharmaceutical measures. Optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-01 Giovanni Ziarelli , Luca Dede' , Nicola Parolini , Marco Verani , Alfio Quarteroni

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIRS epidemiology model. The policy maker can adopt policies to diminish the contact rate between infected and susceptible individuals, at a specific economic cost. The arrival of a vaccine…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-09 Evangelos Magirou

This paper is based on the observation that, during Covid-19 epidemic, the choice of which individuals should be tested has an important impact on the effectiveness of selective confinement measures. This decision problem is closely related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-24 Matthias Pezzutto , Nicolas Bono Rossello , Luca Schenato , Emanuele Garone

To mitigate the impact of the pandemic, several measures include lockdowns, rapid vaccination programs, school closures, and economic stimulus. These interventions can have positive or unintended negative consequences. Current research to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Gaurav Deshkar , Jayanta Kshirsagar , Harshal Hayatnagarkar , Janani Venugopalan

COVID-19 is a global epidemic. Till now, there is no remedy for this epidemic. However, isolation and social distancing are seemed to be effective preventive measures to control this pandemic. Therefore, in this paper, an optimization…

We investigate the time-optimal control problem in SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) epidemic models, focusing on different control policies: vaccination, isolation, culling, and reduction of transmission. Applying the Pontryagin's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Luca Bolzoni , Elena Bonacini , Cinzia Soresina , Maria Groppi

In this paper, an SIR epidemic model with variable size of population is considered. We study optimal control problem for an SIR model with "vaccination" and "treatment" as controls. It is shown that an optimal control exists. We have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Olga Klimenkova

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal SEIQR epidemic model governed by a system of reaction-diffusion partial differential equations that incorporates optimal control strategies. The model captures the transmission dynamics of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Achraf Zinihi , Matthias Ehrhardt , Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi

We propose a versatile model with a flexible choice of control for an early-pandemic outbreak prevention when vaccine/drug is not yet available. At that stage, control is often limited to non-medical interventions like social distancing and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Alexandra Smirnova , Xiaojing Ye
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