English

Epidemic control via stochastic optimal control

Populations and Evolution 2020-05-04 v3 Econometrics Optimization and Control Computational Finance

Abstract

We study the problem of optimal control of the stochastic SIR model. Models of this type are used in mathematical epidemiology to capture the time evolution of highly infectious diseases such as COVID-19. Our approach relies on reformulating the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation as a stochastic minimum principle. This results in a system of forward backward stochastic differential equations, which is amenable to numerical solution via Monte Carlo simulations. We present a number of numerical solutions of the system under a variety of scenarios.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2004.06680,
  title  = {Epidemic control via stochastic optimal control},
  author = {Andrew Lesniewski},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.06680},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

30 pages

R2 v1 2026-06-23T14:51:12.680Z