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Unemployment insurance provides temporary cash benefits to eligible unemployed workers. Benefits are sometimes extended by discretion during economic slumps. In a model that features temporary benefits and sequential job opportunities, a…

General Economics · Economics 2023-12-22 Rich Ryan

Contract workers constitute half of India's automotive employment but earn substantially less than permanent workers. Using ASI data (2002-2019), I develop an estimator of labor supply and demand schedules to explain this wage premium. The…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-28 Davide Luparello

With the official end of the COVID-19 pandemic, debates about the return to office have taken center stage among companies and employees. Despite their ubiquity, the economic implications of return to office policies are not fully…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-08 David Van Dijcke , Florian Gunsilius , Austin Wright

This paper examines whether there is a premium in country size. We study whether there are significant gains from being a small or a large country in terms of certain socioeconomic indicators and how large this premium is. Using panel data…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-11 Jože P. Damijan , Sandra Damijan , Osiris Jorge Parcero

We investigate the Brazilian personal income distribution using data from National Household Sample Survey (PNAD), an annual research available by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). It provides general…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-20 Igor D. S. Siciliani , Marcelo H. R. Tragtenberg

This paper uses predictive densities obtained via mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models to evaluate the statistical sustainability of Brazilian inflation targeting system with the tolerance bounds. The probabilities give an…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-26 Alain Hecq , Joao Issler , Elisa Voisin

This paper studies the impact of an university opening on incentives for human capital accumulation of prospective students in its neighborhood. The opening causes an exogenous fall on the cost to attend university, through the decrease in…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-23 Guilherme Jardim

The rapid escalation of computational requirements for training large-scale language models has reinforced structural asymmetries between high-capacity jurisdictions and countries in the Global South. This paper examines the technical and…

We present the first empirical evidence on the 22 percent increase in the German minimum wage, implemented in 2022, raising it from Euro 9.82 to 10.45 in July and to Euro 12 in October. Leveraging the German Earnings Survey, a large and…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-28 Mario Bossler , Lars Chittka , Thorsten Schank

Workers who earn at or below the minimum wage in the United States are mostly either less educated, young, or female. Little is known, however, concerning the extent to which the minimum wage influences wage differentials among workers with…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-13 Tatsushi Oka , Ken Yamada

We study the effects of a free-fare transport policy implemented by Brazilian localities on employment and greenhouse gas emissions. Using a staggered difference-in-differences approach, we find that fare-free transit increases employment…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-10 Mateus Rodrigues , Daniel Da Mata , Vitor Possebom

This paper introduces a maximum likelihood estimator of the value of job amenities and labor productivity in a single matching market based on the observation of equilibrium matches and wages. The estimation procedure simultaneously fits…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-31 Arnaud Dupuy , Alfred Galichon

Taxes on goods and services account for about 45% of total tax revenue in Brazil. This tax collection results in a highly complex system, with several taxes, different tax bases, and a multiplicity of rates. Moreover, about 43% of taxes on…

General Economics · Economics 2021-07-21 Rozane Bezerra de Siqueira , José Ricardo Bezerra Nogueira , Carlos Feitosa Luna

Corruption has a significant impact on economic growth, democracy, and inequality. It has severe consequences at the human level are incalculable. Public procurement, where public resources are used to purchase goods or services from the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-16 Andrea Falcón-Cortés , Andrés Aldana , Hernán Larralde

Conflicts between the executive and legislative powers are a common, and even expected, characteristic of presidential systems, with some governments being more successful in the activity of obtaining support from the Congress than others.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Tiago Colliri

This paper studies the dynamics of Brazilian interest rates for short-term maturities. The paper employs developed techniques in the econophysics literature and tests for long-range dependence in the term structure of these interest rates…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Daniel O. Cajueiro , Benjamin M. Tabak

Implementing large-scale information and communication technology (IT) projects carries large risks and easily might disrupt operations, waste taxpayers' money, and create negative publicity. Because of the high risks it is important that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-04 Alexander Budzier , Bent Flyvbjerg

This study analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on currency circulation in Brazil by comparing actual data from 2000 to 2023 with counterfactual projections using the \textbf{SARIMA(3,1,1)(3,1,4)\textsubscript{12}} model. The model…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-13 João Victor Monteiros de Andrade , Leonardo Santos da Cruz

The National Institute of Health (NIH) sets postdoctoral (postdoc) trainee stipend levels that many American institutions and investigators use as a basis for postdoc salaries. Although salary standards are held constant across…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-26 Tim Sainburg

This survey article provides insights regarding the future of affirmative action by analyzing the implementation methods and the empirical evidence on the use of placement quotas in the Brazilian higher education system. All federal…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-28 Rodrigo Zeidan , Silvio Luiz de Almeida , Inácio Bó , Neil Lewis