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We investigate the effects of heterogeneous and clustered contact patterns on the timescale and final size of infectious disease epidemics. The abundance of transitive relationships (the number of 3 cliques) in a network and the variance of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-06-07 Erik M Volz

Many complex networks exhibit vulnerability to spreading of epidemics, and such vulnerability relates to the viral strain as well as to the network characteristics. For instance, the structure of the network plays an important role in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-14 Mina Youssef , Caterina Scoglio

Most models of epidemic spread, including many designed specifically for COVID-19, implicitly assume mass-action contact patterns and undirected contact networks, meaning that the individuals most likely to spread the disease are also the…

We study the standard SIS model of epidemic spreading on networks where individuals have a fluctuating number of connections around a preferred degree $\kappa $. Using very simple rules for forming such preferred degree networks, we find…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-05 Shivakumar Jolad , Wenjia Liu , B. Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

We adopt a maximum-likelihood framework to estimate parameters of a stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model with contact tracing on a rooted random tree. Given the number of detectees per index case, our estimator allows to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-23 Augustine Okolie , Johannes Müller , Mirjam Kretzschmar

The study of how diseases spread has greatly benefited from advances in network modeling. Recently, a class of networks known as multilayer graphs has been shown to describe more accurately many real systems, making it possible to address…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-16 Xiangrong Wang , Alberto Aleta , Dan Lu , Yamir Moreno

We analyze the spreading of viruses in scale-free networks with high clustering and degree correlations, as found in the Internet graph. For the Suscetible-Infected-Susceptible model of epidemics the prevalence undergoes a phase transition…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-09-23 Victor M. Eguiluz , Konstantin Klemm

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein

The epidemic threshold of the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) dynamics on random networks having a power law degree distribution with exponent $\gamma>3$ has been investigated using different mean-field approaches, which predict…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Angélica S. Mata , Silvio C. Ferreira

Individual contributions to the spread of an epidemic vary widely due to an individual's location in a social network and their intrinsic ability to spread or contract diseases. While the effect of heterogeneous population structure and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-14 Abhay Gupta , Nicholas W. Landry

We performed a thorough sensitivity analysis of the herd immunity threshold for discrete-time SIR compartmental models with a static network structure. We find unexpectedly that these models violate classical intuition which holds that the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-27 Sinan A. Ozbay , Bjarke F. Nielsen , Maximilian M. Nguyen

The spread of infectious diseases crucially depends on the pattern of contacts among individuals. Knowledge of these patterns is thus essential to inform models and computational efforts. Few empirical studies are however available that…

We study the effect of external infection sources on phase transitions in epidemic processes. In particular, we consider an epidemic spreading on a network via the SIS/SIR dynamics, which in addition is aided by external agents - sources…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-12-05 Siddhartha Banerjee , Avhishek Chatterjee , Sanjay Shakkottai

Epidemics have so far been mostly studied in undirected networks. However, many real-world networks, such as the social network Twitter and the WWW networks, upon which information, emotion or malware spreads, are shown to be directed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Cong Li , Huijuan Wang , Piet Van Mieghem

Pairwise models are used widely to model epidemic spread on networks. These include the modelling of susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemics on regular networks and extensions to SIS dynamics and contact tracing on more exotic networks…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-24 István Z. Kiss , Joel C. Miller , Péter L. Simon

We study the SIR model of epidemics on positively correlated heterogeneous networks with population variability, and explore the dependence of the final outbreak size on the network heterogeneity strength and basic reproduction number $R_0$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-16 Alexander Leibenzon , Michael Assaf

Infectious diseases are practically represented by models with multiple states and complex transition rules corresponding to, for example, birth, death, infection, recovery, disease progression, and quarantine. In addition, networks…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Naoki Masuda , Norio Konno

In this paper we investigate a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model describing data dissemination in opportunistic networks with heterogeneous setting of transmission parameters. We obtained the estimation of the final…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Vadim Alexeev , Liudmila Rozanova , Alexander Temerev

Contagious processes, such as spread of infectious diseases, social behaviors, or computer viruses, affect biological, social, and technological systems. Epidemic models for large populations and finite populations on networks have been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Renato Pagliara , Naomi E. Leonard

Contact patterns in populations fundamentally influence the spread of infectious diseases. Current mathematical methods for epidemiological forecasting on networks largely assume that contacts between individuals are fixed, at least for the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Erik Volz , Lauren Ancel Meyers