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Infectious pathogens often propagate by superspreading, which focusses onward transmission on disproportionately few infected individuals. At the same time, infector-infectee pairs tend to have more similar transmission potentials than…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-22 Noah Silva de Leonardi , Benjamin D. Dalziel

In epidemic modeling, the term infection strength indicates the ratio of infection rate and cure rate. If the infection strength is higher than a certain threshold -- which we define as the epidemic threshold - then the epidemic spreads…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-19 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio , Fahmida N. Chowdhury

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

In a metapopulation network, infectious diseases spread widely because of the travel of individuals. In the present study, we consider a modified metapopulation Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model with a latent period, which we call…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-02 Kazue Kudo , Kanako Mizuno

Traditional disease transmission models assume that the infectious period is exponentially distributed with a recovery rate fixed in time and across individuals. This assumption provides analytical and computational advantages, however it…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-30 Laura Di Domenico , Eugenio Valdano , Vittoria Colizza

Recent work has shown that different theoretical approaches to the dynamics of the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model for epidemics lead to qualitatively different estimates for the position of the epidemic threshold in networks.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-17 Silvio C. Ferreira , Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

Infection dynamics have been studied extensively on complex networks, yielding insight into the effects of heterogeneity in contact patterns on disease spread. Somewhat separately, metapopulations have provided a paradigm for modeling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-08-09 Jason Hindes , Sarabjeet Singh , Christopher R. Myers , David J. Schneider

Networks of person-person contacts form the substrate along which infectious diseases spread. Most network-based studies of the spread focus on the impact of variations in degree (the number of contacts an individual has). However, other…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-15 Joel C. Miller

Stochastic infection processes are continuous-time Markov chains on graphs that assign each vertex one of multiple states, such as susceptible, infected, or recovered. Depending on the model, vertices change their state based on random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca

In this paper, we present a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model with individuals wearing facial masks and individuals who do not. The disease transmission rates, the recovering rates and the fraction of individuals who wear masks are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-01 Duan-Shin Lee , Miao Zhu

We derive analytic expressions for the possibility, probability, and expected size of global spreading events starting from a single infected seed for a broad collection of contagion processes acting on random networks with both directed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-27 Joshua L. Payne , Kameron Decker Harris , Peter Sheridan Dodds

A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

We study two simple mathematical models of the epidemic. At first, we study the repetitive infection spreading in a simplified SIRS model including the effect of the decay of the acquired immune. The model is an intermediate model of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-13 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Keito Yamasaki

In this work, the spread of a contagious disease on a society where the individuals may take precautions is modeled. The primary assumption is that the infected individuals transmit the infection to the susceptible members of the community…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-16 Semra Gunduc

We study the SIR epidemic model with infections carried by $k$ particles making independent random walks on a random regular graph. Here we assume $k\leq n^{\epsilon}$, where $n$ is the number of vertices in the random graph, and $\epsilon$…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Mohammed Abdullah , Colin Cooper , Moez Draief

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

We use scale-free networks to study properties of the infected mass $M$ of the network during a spreading process as a function of the infection probability $q$ and the structural scaling exponent $\gamma$. We use the standard SIR model and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-24 Lazaros K. Gallos , Panos Argyrakis

In this paper we elaborate on homogeneous and heterogeneous SIR-type epidemiological models. We find an unexpected correspondence between the epidemic trajectory of a transmissible disease in a homogeneous SIR-type model and radial null…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-04 Silke Klemm , Lucrezia Ravera

We develop a theory for the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on networks that incorporate both network structure and dynamic correlations. This theory can account for the multistage onset of the epidemic phase in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-07 Chao-Ran Cai , Zhi-Xi Wu , Petter Holme

We analyze the properties of Degree-Ordered Percolation (DOP), a model in which the nodes of a network are occupied in degree-descending order. This rule is the opposite of the much studied degree-ascending protocol, used to investigate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-18 Annalisa Caligiuri , Claudio Castellano
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