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We study the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on directed complex networks within the quenched mean-field approximation. Combining results from random matrix theory with an analytic approach to the distribution of fixed-point…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-12 Vinícius B. Müller , Fernando L. Metz

Accurate identification of effective epidemic threshold is essential for understanding epidemic dynamics on complex networks. The existing studies on the effective epidemic threshold of the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model generally…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-14 Panpan Shu , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Pengcheng Zhao , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

In this work, we study the evolution of the susceptible individuals during the spread of an epidemic modeled by the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) process spreading on the top of complex networks. Using an edge-based compartmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

We study the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic on a random graph chosen uniformly over all graphs with certain critical, heavy-tailed degree distributions. For this model, each vertex infects all its susceptible neighbors and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-14 David Clancy

The spread of a disease, a computer virus or information is discussed in a directed complex network. We are concerned with a steady state of the spread for the SIR and SIS dynamic models. In a scale-free directed network it is shown that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-03-10 Shinji Tanimoto

The viral load is known to be a chief predictor of the risk of transmission of infectious diseases. In this work, we investigate the role of the individuals' viral load in the disease transmission by proposing a new…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-29 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

We study the SIR ("susceptible, infected, removed/recovered") model on directed graphs with heterogeneous transmission probabilities within the message-passing approximation. We characterize the percolation transition, predict cluster size…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Christoph Widder , Tanja Schilling

The spread of an infectious disease can, in some cases, promote the propagation of other pathogens favouring violent outbreaks, which cause a discontinuous transition to an endemic state. The topology of the contact network plays a crucial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-21 Peng-Bi Cui , Francesca Colaiori , Claudio Castellano

We develop an analytical approach to the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model that allows us to unravel the true origin of the absence of an epidemic threshold in heterogeneous networks. We find that a delicate balance…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-13 Marian Boguna , Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We study an individual-based stochastic SIR epidemic model with infection-age dependent infectivity on a large random graph, capturing individual heterogeneity and non-homogeneous connectivity. Each individual is associated with particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Guodong Pang , Étienne Pardoux , Aurélien Velleret

In this paper, we outline the theory of epidemic percolation networks and their use in the analysis of stochastic SIR epidemic models on undirected contact networks. We then show how the same theory can be used to analyze stochastic SIR…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

The transmission dynamics of some infectious diseases is related to the contact structure between individuals in a network. We used five algorithms to generate contact networks with different topological structure but with the same…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-28 Raul Ossada , José H. H. Grisi-Filho , Fernando Ferreira , Marcos Amaku

The structure of social contact networks strongly influences the dynamics of epidemic diseases. In particular the scale-free structure of real-world social networks allows unlikely diseases with low infection rates to spread and become…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-13 Güven Demirel , Thilo Gross

The spread of an epidemic process is considered in the context of a spatial SIR stochastic model that includes a parameter $0\le p\le 1$ that assigns weights $p$ and $1- p$ to global and local infective contacts respectively. The model was…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-29 Gabriel Fabricius , Alberto Maltz

In this paper, we analyze dynamic switching networks, wherein the networks switch arbitrarily among a set of topologies. For this class of dynamic networks, we derive an epidemic threshold, considering the SIS epidemic model. First, an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-08-03 Mohammad Reza Sanatkar , Warren N. White , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Caterina Scoglio , Karren A. Garrett

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

We numerically study the dynamics of the SIR disease model on small-world networks by using a large-deviation approach. This allows us to obtain the probability density function of the total fraction of infected nodes and of the maximum…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-01 Yannick Feld , Alexander K. Hartmann

We study the spreading of a disease on top of structured scale-free networks recently introduced. By means of numerical simulations we analyze the SIS and the SIR models. Our results show that when the connectivity fluctuations of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Alexei Vazquez

We study the susceptible-infective-recovered (SIR) epidemic on a random graph chosen uniformly subject to having given vertex degrees. In this model infective vertices infect each of their susceptible neighbours, and recover, at a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Svante Janson , Malwina Luczak , Peter Windridge