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Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process with intensity measure $t\mu$, $t>0$, over a Borel space $\mathbb{X}$, where $\mu$ is a fixed measure. Another point process $\xi_t$ on the real line is constructed by applying a symmetric function…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-02 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

We consider together the retrospective and the sequential change-point detection in a general class of integer-valued time series. The conditional mean of the process depends on a parameter $\theta^*$ which may change over time. We propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-29 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

When designing and evaluating an experiment or observational study, it is useful to have a realistic hypothesis regarding the average treatment effect. We present an approach to conceptualizing this average by first considering a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Andrew Gelman , Amy Krefman , Lauren Kennedy , Jessica Hullman

We establish that temporal averaging over multiple observations is the degenerate case of algebraic group action with the trivial group $G=\{e\}$. A General Replacement Theorem proves that a group-averaged estimator from one snapshot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Mitchell A. Thornton

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini

Non-Gaussian outcomes are often modeled using members of the so-called exponential family. Notorious members are the Bernoulli model for binary data, leading to logistic regression, and the Poisson model for count data, leading to Poisson…

Spectral statistics and correlations are the usual way to study the presence or absence of quantum chaos in quantum systems. We present our investigation on the study of the fluctuation average and variance of certain correlation functions…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-02-11 Tanay Pathak

Measurements in many-body quantum systems can generate non-trivial phenomena, such as preparation of long-range entangled states, dynamical phase transitions, or measurement-altered criticality. Here, we introduce a new measurement scheme…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-22 Alexey Milekhin , Sara Murciano

Relative entropy serves as a cornerstone concept in quantum information theory. In this work, we study relative entropy of random states from major generic state models of Hilbert-Schmidt and Bures-Hall ensembles. In particular, we derive…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-05-28 Lu Wei

We address the witnessing of quantum correlations beyond the limits imposed by an ensemble statistical average. By relying upon the continuous observation of a single quantum open system under the action of classical or quantum noise, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-08-14 Felipe Caycedo-Soler , Ferney J. Rodríguez , Luis Quiroga

We study harmonic functions and Poisson boundaries for Borel probability measures on general (i.e., not necessarily locally compact) topological groups, and we prove that a second-countable topological group is amenable if and only if it…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Friedrich Martin Schneider , Andreas Thom

Using Malliavin operators together with an interpolation technique inspired by Arratia, Goldstein and Gordon (1989), we prove a new inequality on the Poisson space, allowing one to measure the distance between the laws of a general random…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Solesne Bourguin , Giovanni Peccati

Recent theoretical studies of chaotic scattering have encounted ensembles of random matrices in which the eigenvalue probability density function contains a one-body factor with an exponent proportional to the number of eigenvalues. Two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 T. H. Baker , P. J. Forrester , P. A. Pearce

Many machine learning tasks in the natural sciences are precisely equivariant to particular symmetries. Nonetheless, equivariant methods are often not employed, perhaps because training is perceived to be challenging, or the symmetry is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Valentino F. Foit , David W. Hogg , Soledad Villar

Properties of weighted averages are studied for the general case that the individual measurements are subject to hidden correlations and have asymmetric statistical as well as systematic errors. Explicit expressions are derived for an…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Schmelling

We study weighted ensemble, an interacting particle method for sampling distributions of Markov chains that has been used in computational chemistry since the 1990s. Many important applications of weighted ensemble require the computation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-22 David Aristoff

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

We study the loop clusters induced by Poissonian ensembles of Markov loops on a finite or countable graph (Markov loops can be viewed as excursions of Markov chains with a random starting point, up to re-rooting). Poissonian ensembles are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-17 Yves Le Jan , Sophie Lemaire

We study the asymptotic behavior of short cycles of random permutations with cycle weights. More specifically, on a specially constructed metric space whose elements encode all possible cycles, we consider a point process containing all…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Oleksii Galganov , Andrii Ilienko

We present a theory for the estimation of a classical magnetic field by an atomic sample with a gaussian distribution of collective spin components. By incorporating the magnetic field and the probing laser field as quantum variables with…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Klaus Molmer , Lars Bojer Madsen
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