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A Central Limit Theorem for linear combinations of iterates of an inner function is proved. The main technical tool is Aleksandrov Desintegration Theorem for Aleksandrov-Clark measures.

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Artur Nicolau , Odí Soler i Gibert

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

This paper proposes a family of weighted batch means variance estimators, which are computationally efficient and can be conveniently applied in practice. The focus is on Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations and estimation of the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Ying Liu , James M. Flegal

The term moderate deviations is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability of some random variables to a constant and a weak convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Rita Giuliano , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

The density-dependent Markov chain (DDMC) introduced in \cite{Kurtz1978} is a continuous time Markov process applied in fields such as epidemics, chemical reactions and so on. In this paper, we give moderate deviation principles of paths of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Xiaofeng Xue

We present a novel algorithm to solve a non-linear system of equations, whose solution can be interpreted as a tight lower bound on the vector of expected hitting times of a Markov chain whose transition probabilities are only partially…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Thomas Krak

We prove explicit, i.e. non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The problem is to compute the expectation of a function f with respect to a measure {\pi}. Different convergence properties of Markov chains imply…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Daniel Rudolf

A Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem quantifies the relative error of the tail probability approximation. It provides theoretical justification when the limiting tail probability can be used to estimate the tail probability under…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Qi-Man Shao , Mengchen Zhang , Zhuo-Song Zhang

In this article, we fill a gap in the literature on Hawkes processes. In particular, we derive a CLT for a non linear compound marked Hawkes process. We also provide an upper bound on the convergence rate using the functional 1-Wasserstein…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Benjamin Massat

The exponential rate of convergence and the Central Limit Theorem for some Markov operators are established. The operators correspond to iterated function systems which, for example, may be used to generalize the cell cycle model given by…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-03 Sander Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Tomasz Szarek , Hanna Wojewódka

We give optimal convergence rates in the central limit theorem for a large class of martingale difference sequences with bounded third moments. The rates depend on the behaviour of the conditional variances and for stationary sequences the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mohamed El Machkouri , Lahcen Ouchti

This paper will provide several classes of strictly stationary, countable-state, irreducible, aperiodic Markov chains that are reversible and have finite second moments, such that the central limit theorem fails to hold. The main purpose is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Richard C. Bradley

Here we obtain the exact asymptotics for large and moderate deviations, strong law of large numbers and central limit theorem for chains with unbounded variable length memory.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 A. Logachev , A. Mogulskii , A. Yambartsev

In this paper, we give the central limit theorem and almost sure central limit theorem for products of some partial sums of independent identically distributed random variables.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-01 Yu Miao

We establish self-norming central limit theorems for non-stationary time series arising as observations on sequential maps possessing an indifferent fixed point. These transformations are obtained by perturbing the slope in the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Matthew Nicol , Andrew Török , Sandro Vaienti

The paper is devoted to the estimation of the rate of of exponential convergence of nonhomogeneous queues exhibiting different types of ergodicity. The main tool of our study is the method, which was proposed by the second author in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Boris L. Granovsky , Aleksandr I. Zeifman

In this paper we consider a sequence of random variables with mean uncertainty in a sublinear expectation space. Without the hypothesis of identical distributions, we show a new central limit theorem under the sublinear expectations.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Min Li , Yufeng Shi

We prove the conjectured limiting normality for the number of crossings of a uniformly chosen set partition of [n] = {1,2,...,n}. The arguments use a novel stochastic representation and are also used to prove central limit theorems for the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Bobbie Chern , Persi Diaconis , Daniel M. Kane , Robert C. Rhoades

In this paper, we obtain the central limit theorems for LS estimator in simple linear errors-in-variables (EV) regression models under some mild conditions. And we also show that those conditions are necessary in some sense.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yu Miao , Guangyu Yang , Luming Shen

Monte Carlo experiments produce samples in order to estimate features of a given distribution. However, simultaneous estimation of means and quantiles has received little attention, despite being common practice. In this setting we…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-24 Nathan Robertson , James M. Flegal , Dootika Vats , Galin L. Jones