English

Computing Expected Hitting Times for Imprecise Markov Chains

Probability 2022-03-30 v1

Abstract

We present a novel algorithm to solve a non-linear system of equations, whose solution can be interpreted as a tight lower bound on the vector of expected hitting times of a Markov chain whose transition probabilities are only partially specified. We also briefly sketch how this method can be modified to solve a conjugate system of equations that gives rise to the corresponding upper bound. We prove the correctness of our method, and show that it converges to the correct solution in a finite number of steps under mild conditions on the system. We compare the runtime complexity of our method to a previously published method from the literature, and identify conditions under which our novel method is more efficient.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2104.10188,
  title  = {Computing Expected Hitting Times for Imprecise Markov Chains},
  author = {Thomas Krak},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2104.10188},
  year   = {2022}
}