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We consider the efficient use of an approximation within Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), with subsequent importance sampling (IS) correction of the Markov chain inexact output, leading to asymptotically exact inference. We detail…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-15 Jordan Franks

The work concerns deviation estimates for multivalued McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. First of all, we prove the large deviation principle for them by the weak convergence approach. Then the central limit theorem for them…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Kun Fang , Huijie Qiao

We derive Cram\'{e}r type moderate deviations for stationary sequences of bounded random variables. Our results imply the moderate deviation principles and a Berry-Esseen bound. Applications to quantile coupling inequalities, functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan

We obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the regular variation of the variance of partial sums of functionals of discrete and continuous-time stationary Markov processes with normal transition operators. We also construct a class…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-13 George Deligiannidis , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

In this paper, we prove a central limit theorem for a sequence of iterated Shorohod integrals using the techniques of Malliavin calculus. The convergence is stable, and the limit is a conditionally Gaussian random variable. Some…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Ivan Nourdin , David Nualart

In this paper we investigate the kernel estimator of the density for a stationary reversible Markov chain. The proofs are based on a new central limit theorem for a triangular array of reversible Markov chains obtained under conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-23 Martial Longla , Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang

This paper is about the existence and regularity of the transition probability matrix of a nonhomogeneous continuous-time Markov process with a countable state space. A standard approach to prove the existence of such a transition matrix is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-29 Liuer Ye , Xianping Guo , Onésimo Hernández-Lerma

We develop a modular approach to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for unnormalized target densities. In this approach, Markov chains are constructed in parallel, each constrained to a subset of the target space. The Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-05 Joonha Park

The dynamics of one parameter diagonal group actions on finite volume homogeneous spaces has a partially hyperbolic feature. In this paper we extend the Liv\v{s}ic type result to these possibly noncompact and nonaccessible systems. We also…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Ronggang Shi

We elaborate the idea behind Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods in a mathematically coherent, yet simple and understandable way. To this end, we proof a pivotal convergence theorem for finite Markov chains and a minimal version of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Tobias Siems

We characterize the convergence in distribution to a standard normal law for a sequence of multiple stochastic integrals of a fixed order with variance converging to 1. Some applications are given, in particular to study the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Nualart , Giovanni Peccati

The purpose of this paper is to provide a first class of explicit sufficient conditions for the central limit theorem and related results in the setup of non-uniformly (partially) expanding non iid random transformations, considered as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Yeor Hafouta

We consider a borderline case: the central limit theorem for a strictly stationary time series with infinite variance but a Gaussian limit. In the iid case a well-known sufficient condition for this central limit theorem is regular…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Muneya Matsui , Thomas Mikosch

The central limit theorem of martingales is the fundamental tool for studying the convergence of stochastic processes, especially stochastic integrals and differential equations. In this paper, general central limit theorems and functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Li-Xin Zhang

We prove the Central Limit Theorem for finite-dimensional vectors of linear eigenvalue statistics of submatrices of Wigner random matrices under the assumption that test functions are sufficiently smooth. We connect the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Lingyun Li , Matthew Reed , Alexander Soshnikov

The main purpose of this work is to study self-similar branching Markov chains. First we will construct such a process. Then we will establish certain Limit Theorems using the theory of self-similar Markov processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-24 Nathalie Krell

Let $(g_{n})_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed positive random $d\times d$ matrices and consider the matrix product $G_n: = g_n \ldots g_1$. Under suitable conditions, we establish the Berry-Esseen bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Hui Xiao , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

The batch means estimator of the MCMC variance is a simple and effective measure of accuracy for MCMC based ergodic averages. Under various regularity conditions, the estimator has been shown to be consistent for the true variance. However,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Suman K. Bhattacharya , Kshitij Khare

Whereas classical Markov decision processes maximize the expected reward, we consider minimizing the risk. We propose to evaluate the risk associated to a given policy over a long-enough time horizon with the help of a central limit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Pengqian Yu , Jia Yuan Yu , Huan Xu

We apply Lindeberg's method, invented to prove a central limit theorem, to analyze the moderate deviations around such a central limit theorem. In particular, we will show moderate deviation principles for martingales as well as for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Peter Eichelsbacher , Matthias Löwe