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This paper addresses the key challenge of estimating the asymptotic covariance associated with the Markov chain central limit theorem, which is essential for visualizing and terminating Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations. We focus…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-29 James M. Flegal , Rebecca P. Kurtz-Garcia

We consider two continuous It\^o semimartingales observed with noise and sampled at stopping times in a nonsynchronous manner. In this article we establish a central limit theorem for the pre-averaged Hayashi-Yoshida estimator of their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-04 Yuta Koike

Given a Coxeter system of large type we prove a non--commutative central limit theorem: After normalisation with the square root of n the characteristic function of the set of the first n generators tends in distribution to Wigners…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 gero Fendler

We prove explicit, i.e., non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, such as the Metropolis algorithm. The problem is to compute the expectation (or integral) of f with respect to a measure which can be given by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-01-18 Daniel Rudolf

A central limit theorem is established for a sum of random variables belonging to a sequence of random fields. The fields are assumed to have zero mean conditional on the past history and to satisfy certain conditional $\alpha$-mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Abdollah Jalilian , Arnaud Poinas , Ganggang Xu , Rasmus Waagepetersen

It is known that the fluctuations of suitable linear statistics of Haar distributed elements of the compact classical groups satisfy a central limit theorem. We show that if the corresponding test functions are sufficiently smooth, a rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Christian Döbler , Michael Stolz

In this paper we prove a sharp quantitative version of the Kendall's Theorem. The Kendal Theorem states that under some mild conditions imposed on a probability distribution on positive integers (i.e. probabilistic sequence) one can prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-09 Witold Bednorz

Suppose that $\mathbf X_n=(x_{jk})$ is $N\times n$ whose elements are independent real variables with mean zero, variance 1 and the fourth moment equal to three. The separable sample covariance matrix is defined as $\mathbf{B}_n =…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Bai Zhidong , Li Huiqin , Pan Guangming

The term ``sequential Monte Carlo methods'' or, equivalently, ``particle filters,'' refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (\pi_t). We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolas Chopin

We derive a finite-sample probabilistic bound on the parameter estimation error of a system identification algorithm for Linear Switched Systems. The algorithm estimates Markov parameters from a single trajectory and applies a variant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Daniel Racz , Mihaly Petreczky , Balint Daroczy

In this paper, we study Markov chains (MC) on topological spaces within the framework of the operator approach. We extend the Markov operator from the space of countably additive measures to the space of finitely additive measures. Cesaro…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Alexander Zhdanok

Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. Motivated by the functional estimation of the density of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-17 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

In this paper we survey some recent results on the central limit theorem and its weak invariance principle for stationary sequences. We also describe several maximal inequalities that are the main tool for obtaining the invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

We establish Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorems for sums of locally dependent random variables and combinatorial central limit theorems. Under some mild exponential moment conditions, optimal error bounds and convergence ranges are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Song-Hao Liu , Zhuo-Song Zhang

For probability measures on a complete separable metric space, we present sufficient conditions for the existence of a solution to the Kantorovich transportation problem. We also obtain sufficient conditions (which sometimes also become…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. Ekisheva , C. Houdré

We prove a Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in the non-commutative setting of random matrix products where the underlying process is driven by a subshift of finite type (SFT) with Markov measure. We use the martingale method introduced by Y.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Alex Furman , Robert Thijs Kozma

The Importance Markov chain is a novel algorithm bridging the gap between rejection sampling and importance sampling, moving from one to the other through a tuning parameter. Based on a modified sample of an instrumental Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-27 Charly Andral , Randal Douc , Hugo Marival , Christian P. Robert

In this article, we will consider Wishart Matrices with correlated entries, but with a strictly log-concave law. It has been shown by A.Pajor and L.Pastur that the empirical measures of such matrices converges. We will show, under some…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-07 Kevin Richard , Alice Guionnet

We prove a multivariate central limit theorem for the numbers of critical points above a level with all possible indexes of a non-necessarily isotropic Gaussian random field. In particular, we discuss the non-degeneracy of the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Federico Dalmao , Céline Delmas

A non-classical formulation of the central limit theorem is given for sequences of independent random variables with finite second moments. Singular sequences whose members all have a degenerate or normal distribution are excluded from…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Alexander Shmyrov , Vasily Shmyrov