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We investigate extinction of a long-lived self-regulating stochastic population, caused by intrinsic (demographic) noise. Extinction typically occurs via one of two scenarios depending on whether the absorbing state n=0 is a repelling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Michael Assaf , Baruch Meerson

We consider extinction times for a class of birth-death processes commonly found in applications, where there is a control parameter which determines whether the population quickly becomes extinct, or rather persists for a long time. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Charles R. Doering , Khachik V. Sargsyan , Leonard M. Sander

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

Many statistical estimators are defined as the fixed point of a data-dependent operator, with estimators based on minimizing a cost function being an important special case. The limiting performance of such estimators depends on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

We consider a supercritical Galton-Watson branching process with immigration. It is well known that under suitable conditions on the offspring and immigration distributions, there is a finite, strictly positive limit ${\mathcal{W}}$ for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Weijuan Chu , Wenbo V. Li , Yan-Xia Ren

In this article we discuss estimation of the common variance of several normal populations with tree order restricted means. We discuss the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the variance as the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-24 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Sanjay Chaudhuri

In this paper we study a 2-type linear-fractional branching process in varying environment with asymptotically constant mean matrices. Let $\nu$ be the extinction time and for $k\ge1$ let $M_k$ be the mean matrix of offspring distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Hua-Ming Wang

We consider the classical problem of learning, with arbitrary accuracy, the natural parameters of a $k$-parameter truncated \textit{minimal} exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Abhin Shah , Devavrat Shah , Gregory W. Wornell

In this note, we study the asymptotic behaviour near extinction of (sub-) critical continuous state branching processes. In particular, we establish an analogue of Khintchin's law of the iterated logarithm near extinction time for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-05 Juan Carlos Pardo , Gabriel Berzunza

A branching process in varying environment with generation-dependent immigration is a modification of the standard branching process in which immigration is allowed and the reproduction and immigration laws may vary over the generations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Miguel González , Goetz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto

Extinction of a long-lived isolated stochastic population can be described as an exponentially slow decay of quasi-stationary probability distribution of the population size. We address extinction of a population in a two-population system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

In Li (2011), Example 2.2, the notion of a multi-type continuous-state branching process (MCSBP) was introduced with a finite number of types, with the countably infinite case being proposed in Kyprianou and Palau (2017). One may consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Sandra Palau , Yan-Xia Ren

We consider an indecomposable Galton-Watson branching process with countably infinitely many types. Assuming that the process is critical and allowing for infinite variance of the offspring sizes of some (or all) types of particles we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-02 V. A. Topchii , V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

A multitype continuous-state branching process (MCSBP) ${\rm Z}=({\rm Z}_{t})_{t\geq 0}$, is a Markov process with values in $[0,\infty)^{d}$ that satisfies the branching property. Its distribution is characterised by its branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Loïc Chaumont , Marine Marolleau

We consider a binary branching process structured by a stochastic trait that evolves according to a diffusion process that triggers the branching events, in the spirit of Kimmel's model of cell division with parasite infection. Based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-27 Marc Hoffmann , Aline Marguet

Ancestral inference for branching processes in random environments involves determining the ancestor distribution parameters using the population sizes of descendant generations. In this paper, we introduce a new methodology for ancestral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Xiaoran Jiang , Anand N. Vidyashankar

A finite point process is characterized by the distribution of the number of points (the size) of the process. In some applications, for example, in the context of packet flows in modern communication networks, it is of interest to infer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-03 Ritwik Chaudhuri , Vladas Pipiras

We consider the critical Galton-Watson process with overlapping generations stemming from a single founder. Assuming that both the variance of the offspring number and the average generation length are finite, we establish the convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Serik Sagitov

The work continues the author's many-year research in theory of maximal branching processes, which are obtained from classical branching processes by replacing the summation of descendant numbers with taking the maximum. One can say that in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Alexey V. Lebedev
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