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We consider one-dimensional branching Brownian motion in which particles are absorbed at the origin. We assume that when a particle branches, the offspring distribution is supercritical, but the particles are given a critical drift towards…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Pascal Maillard , Jason Schweinsberg

We consider the problem of extinction processes on random networks with a given structure. For sufficiently large well-mixed populations, the process of extinction of one or more state variable components occurs in the tail of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-13 Brandon S. Lindley , Leah B. Shaw , Ira B. Schwartz

We consider the setting of either a general non-local branching particle process or a general non-local superprocess, in both cases, with and without immigration. Under the assumption that the mean semigroup has a Perron-Frobenious type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Emma Horton , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Ellen Powell , Victor Rivero

We consider a general class of birth-and-death processes with state space $\{0,1,2,3,\ldots\}$ which describes the size of a population going eventually to extinction with probability one. We obtain the complete spectrum of the generator of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-25 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

In this work, we study asymptotics of the genealogy of Galton-Watson processes. Thus we consider a offspring distribution such that the rescaled Galton-Watson processes converges to a continuous state branching process (CSBP) with jumps.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Ibrahima Drame , Etienne Pardoux

Multitype branching processes with immigration in one type are used to model the dynamics of stage-structured plant populations. Parametric inference is first carried out when count data of all types are observed. Statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2009-02-27 Catherine Laredo , Olivier David , Aurélie Garnier

The statistics of natural catastrophes contains very counter-intuitive results. Using earthquakes as a working example, we show that the energy radiated by such events follows a power-law or Pareto distribution. This means, in theory, that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-04 Alvaro Corral , Francesc Font-Clos

The preferential attachment (PA) model is a popular way of modeling dynamic social networks, such as collaboration networks. Assuming that the PA function takes a parametric form, we propose and study the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fengnan Gao , Aad van der Vaart

We consider a branching stable process with positive jumps, i.e. a continuous-time branching process in which the particles evolve independently as stable L{\'e}vy processes with positive jumps. Assuming the branching mechanism is critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Christophe Profeta

We define a model of Galton Watson processes in dynamical environments where the environment evolves according to a dynamical system (X, T). Three behaviours are possible: uniformly subcritical, critical, and uniformly supercritical. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Thomas Morand

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

Continuous determinantal point processes (DPPs) are a class of repulsive point processes on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with many statistical applications. Although an explicit expression of their density is known, it is too complicated to be used…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-24 Arnaud Poinas , Frédéric Lavancier

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

This paper is concerned with the characterizations of fixed points of the generating function of branching processes with countably infinitely many types. We assume each particle of type $i$ can only give offspring of type $j\geq i$, whose…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Jiangrui Tan , Mei Zhang

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

The asymptotic behavior, as $n\rightarrow \infty $ of the conditional distribution of the number of particles in a decomposable critical branching process $\mathbf{Z}% (m)=(Z_{1}(m),...,Z_{N}(m)),$ with $N$ types of particles at moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

We consider a subcritical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We consider the event $% \mathcal{A}_{i}(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 E. E. Dyakonova , V. A. Vatutin

We study infinite horizon control of continuous-time non-linear branching processes with almost sure extinction for general (positive or negative) discount. Our main goal is to study the link between infinite horizon control of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-28 Julien Claisse , Nicolas Champagnat