Related papers: Parameter estimation in branching processes with a…
We study the evolution of the population size distribution of a critical Galton-Watson process with infinite variance of the offspring size of particles assuming that the population size is unusually small at the distant moment $n$ of…
We investigate the temporal evolution and spatial propagation of branching annihilating random walks in one dimension. Depending on the branching and annihilation rates, a few-particle initial state can evolve to a propagating finite…
We introduce and study the class of branching-stable point measures, which can be seen as an analog of stable random variables when the branching mechanism for point measures replaces the usual addition. In contrast with the classical…
We consider a supercritical branching process $Z_n$ in a stationary and ergodic random environment $\xi =(\xi_n)_{n\ge0}$. Due to the martingale convergence theorem, it is known that the normalized population size $W_n=Z_n/ (\mathbb E…
We study stochastic extinction for a class of Markov processes motivated by models in ecology and epidemiology. Extinction is often characterized by a boundedness condition and a condition on boundary Lyapunov exponents (invasion rates).…
We consider the problem of estimating the elapsed time since the most recent common ancestor of a finite random sample drawn from a population which has evolved through a Bienayme-Galton-Watson branching process. More specifically, we are…
In this paper we study the conditional limit theorems for critical continuous-state branching processes with branching mechanism $\psi(\lambda)=\lambda^{1+\alpha}L(1/\lambda)$ where $\alpha\in [0,1]$ and $L$ is slowly varying at $\infty$.…
We code Galton-Walton trees by a continuous height process, in order to give a precise meaning to the convergence of forests of trees. This allows us to establish the convergence of the forest of genealogical trees of the branching process…
We consider a multi-type Galton-Watson branching processes, where the largest in magnitude positive eigenvalue $\rho$ of the first moments matrix is close to unity. Specifically, we examine the random vector representing the number of…
Recent progress in the study of the contact process [2] has verified that the extinction-survival threshold $\lambda_1$ on a Galton-Watson tree is strictly positive if and only if the offspring distribution $\xi$ has an exponential tail. In…
We study the pathwise description of a (sub-)critical continuous-state branching process (CSBP) conditioned to be never extinct, as the solution to a stochastic differential equation driven by Brownian motion and Poisson point measures. The…
The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…
Consider two-type linear-fractional branching processes in varying environments with asymptotically constant mean matrices. Let $\nu$ be the extinction time. Under certain conditions, we show that both $P(\nu=n)$ and $P(\nu>n)$ are…
The simple Galton--Watson process describes populations where individuals live one season and are then replaced by a random number of children. It can also be viewed as a way of generating random trees, each vertex being an individual of…
Skeletons of branching processes are defined as trees of lineages characterized by an appropriate signature of future reproduction success. In the supercritical case a natural choice is to look for the lineages that survive forever. In the…
This paper discusses the simultaneous inference of mean parameters in a family of distributions with quadratic variance function. We first introduce a class of semiparametric/parametric shrinkage estimators and establish their asymptotic…
Minimum disparity estimation in controlled branching processes is dealt with by assuming that the offspring law belongs to a general parametric family. Under some regularity conditions it is proved that the minimum disparity estimators…
Consider a branching process $\{Z_n\}_{n\ge 0}$ with immigration in varying environment. For $a\in\{0,1,2,...\},$ let $C=\{n\ge0:Z_n=a\}$ be the collection of times at which the population size of the process attains level $a.$ We give a…
The problem of conditioning a continuous-state branching process with quadratic competition (logistic CB process) on non-extinction is investigated. We first establish that non-extinction is equivalent to the total progeny of the population…
Extinction times in resampling processes are fundamental yet often intractable, as previous formulas scale as $2^M$ with the number of states $M$ present in the initial probability distribution. We solve this by treating multinomial updates…