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Background: Worldwide demand for SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR testing is increasing as more countries are impacted by COVID-19 and as testing remains central to contain the spread of the disease, both in countries where the disease is emerging and in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-05 Alexandra Martin , Alexandre Storto , Barbara Andre , Allison Mallory , Remi Dangla , Benoit Visseaux , Olivier Gossner

Antigen test kits have been used extensively as a screening tool during the worldwide pandemic of coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2). While it is generally expected that taking samples for analysis with PCR testing gives more reliable results than…

There are multiple testing methods to ascertain an infection in an individual and they vary in their performances, cost and delay. Unfortunately, better performing tests are sometimes costlier and time consuming and can only be done for a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Harish Sasikumar , Manoj Varma

Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, government policy and healthcare implementation responses have been guided by reported positivity rates and counts of positive cases in the community. The selection bias of these data calls into question…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-12 Len Covello , Andrew Gelman , Yajuan Si , Siquan Wang

During the early stages of respiratory virus outbreaks, such as severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the efficient utilize of limited nasopharyngeal swabs for rapid and accurate screening is crucial for public…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Wenwen Zhang , Zhouzhuo Tang , Yingmei Feng , Xia Yu , Qi Jie Wang , Zhiping Lin

The efficacy of an intervention can be assessed by randomizing patients to different diagnostic tests instead of directly to an intervention and control. This principle is applied by allocating individuals to intervention if the test result…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-11 Huw Llewelyn

An accurate multiclass classification strategy is crucial to interpreting antibody tests. However, traditional methods based on confidence intervals or receiver operating characteristics lack clear extensions to settings with more than two…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-07 Rayanne A. Luke , Anthony J. Kearsley , Paul N. Patrone

We present a method for efficient estimation of the prevalence of infection in a population with high accuracy using only a small number of tests. The presented approach uses pool testing with a mix of pool sizes of various sizes. The test…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-08 Itsik Bergel

Testing is recommended for all close contacts of confirmed COVID-19 patients. However, existing group testing methods are oblivious to the circumstances of contagion provided by contact tracing. Here, we build upon a well-known…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-01 Stratis Tsirtsis , Abir De , Lars Lorch , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

The COVID-19 pandemic has had devastating effects on the well-being of the global population. The pandemic has been so prominent partly due to the high infection rate of the virus and its variants. In response, one of the most effective…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-06 Jianxing Zhang , Pengcheng Xi , Ashkan Ebadi , Hilda Azimi , Stephane Tremblay , Alexander Wong

Measuring the prevalence of active SARS-CoV-2 infections in the general population is difficult because tests are conducted on a small and non-random segment of the population. However, people admitted to the hospital for non-COVID reasons…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-23 Daniel W. Sacks , Nir Menachemi , Peter Embi , Coady Wing

Monitoring the incidence of new infections during a pandemic is critical for an effective public health response. General population prevalence surveys for SARS-CoV-2 can provide high-quality data to estimate incidence. However, estimation…

Genomic surveillance of infectious diseases allows monitoring circulating and emerging variants and quantifying their epidemic potential. However, due to the high costs associated with genomic sequencing, only a limited number of samples…

Gathering observational data for medical decision-making often involves uncertainties arising from both type I (false positive)and type II (false negative) errors. In this work, we develop a statistical model to study how medical…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-21 Lucas Böttcher , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an ongoing pandemic infectious disease outbreak that has significantly harmed and threatened the health and lives of millions or even billions of people. COVID-19 has also negatively impacted the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-14 Jirong Yi , Raghu Mudumbai , Weiyu Xu

Large scale disease screening is a complicated process in which high costs must be balanced against pressing public health needs. When the goal is screening for infectious disease, one approach is group testing in which samples are…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-02 Gregory Haber , Yaakov Malinovsky , Paul S. Albert

The UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) publish a regular infection survey that reports data on positive RT-PCR test results for SARS-COV-2 virus. This survey reports that a large proportion of positive test results may be based on the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-19 Martin Neil

We analyze the effect of using a screening CT-scan for evaluation of potential COVID-19 infections in order to isolate and perform contact tracing based upon a viral pneumonia diagnosis. RT-PCR is then used for continued isolation based…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-04 Chen Shen , Ron Mark , Nolan J. Kagetsu , Anton S. Becker , Yaneer Bar-Yam

In order to identify the infected individuals of a population, their samples are divided in equally sized groups called pools and a single laboratory test is applied to each pool. Individuals whose samples belong to pools that test negative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-06 Inés Armendáriz , Pablo A. Ferrari , Daniel Fraiman , José M. Martínez , Silvina Ponce Dawson

Globally the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus has infected more than 59 million people and killed more than 1.39 million. Designing and monitoring interventions to slow and stop the spread of the virus require knowledge of how many people have been…