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We study the optimal timing of derivative purchases in incomplete markets. In our model, an investor attempts to maximize the spread between her model price and the offered market price through optimally timing her purchase. Both the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-12 Tim Leung , Michael Ludkovski

We study finite horizon optimal switching problems for hidden Markov chain models under partially observable Poisson processes. The controller possesses a finite range of strategies and attempts to track the state of the unobserved state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-22 Erhan Bayraktar , Mike Ludkovski

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process $X$ drifting to infinity, (inspired on the early ideas of Shiryaev (2002)) we are interested in finding a stopping time that minimises the $L^p$ distance ($p>1$) with $g$, the last time $X$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Erik J. Baurdoux , J. M. Pedraza

It is well-known that using delta hedging to hedge financial options is not feasible in practice. Traders often rely on discrete-time hedging strategies based on fixed trading times or fixed trading prices (i.e., trades only occur if the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-06 Cheng Cai , Tiziano De Angelis , Jan Palczewski

We derive the explicit price of the perpetual American put option cancelled at the last passage time of the underlying above some fixed level. We assume the asset process is governed by a geometric spectrally negative L\'evy process. We…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Zbigniew Palmowski , Paweł Stępniak

Sequential Bayesian experimental design typically assumes that the number of experiments is fixed before data collection begins. In practical campaigns, however, experimentation may need to terminate early because additional measurements…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Chen Cheng , Xun Huan

This paper studies an optimal stopping problem for L\'evy processes. We give a justification of the form of the Snell envelope using standard results of optimal stopping. We also justify the convexity of the value function, and without a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Diana Dorobantu

We study the optimal multiple stopping time problem defined for each stopping time $S$ by $v(S)=\operatorname {ess}\sup_{\tau_1,...,\tau_d\geq S}E[\psi(\tau_1,...,\tau_d)|\mathcal{F}_S]$. The key point is the construction of a new reward…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-30 Magdalena Kobylanski , Marie-Claire Quenez , Elisabeth Rouy-Mironescu

Model risk arises from the misspecification of probabilistic models used for pricing and hedging derivatives. While model risk for European-style claims has been widely studied, much less attention has been given to American-style…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Luna Rigby , Rüdiger Frey , Erik Schlögl

This paper concerns an optimal stopping problem driven by the running maximum of a spectrally negative Levy process X. More precisely, we are interested in capped versions of the American lookback optimal stopping problem, which has its…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-17 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Curdin Ott

We consider the optimal stopping problem for a Gauss-Markov process conditioned to adopt a prescribed terminal distribution. By applying a time-space transformation, we show it is equivalent to stopping a Brownian bridge pinned at a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Abel Azze , Bernardo D'Auria

Several two-boundary problems are solved for a special L\'{e}vy process: the Poisson process with an exponential component. The jumps of this process are controlled by a homogeneous Poisson process, the positive jump size distribution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Tetyana Kadankova , Noël Veraverbeke

In this paper, we consider multistopping problems for finite discrete time sequences $X_1,...,X_n$. $m$-stops are allowed and the aim is to maximize the expected value of the best of these $m$ stops. The random variables are neither assumed…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Andreas Faller , Ludger Rüschendorf

We develop a method to solve, theoretically and numerically, general optimal stopping problems. Our general setting allows for multiple exercise rights, i.e., optimal multiple stopping, for a robust evaluation that accounts for model…

We use martingale and stochastic analysis techniques to study a continuous-time optimal stopping problem, in which the decision maker uses a dynamic convex risk measure to evaluate future rewards. We also find a saddle point for an…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Ioannis Karatzas , Song Yao

Nowadays many financial derivatives, such as American or Bermudan options, are of early exercise type. Often the pricing of early exercise options gives rise to high-dimensional optimal stopping problems, since the dimension corresponds to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Sebastian Becker , Patrick Cheridito , Arnulf Jentzen , Timo Welti

The paper studies a class of multidimensional optimal stopping problems with infinite horizon for linear switching diffusions. There are two main novelties in the optimal problems considered: the underlying stochastic process has…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-02 Philip Ernst , Hongwei Mei

We establish a systematic solution method for optimal stopping problems of spectrally negative L\'evy processes. Our approach relies essentially on the potential theory, in particular the Riesz decomposition and the maximum principle. Using…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Masahiko Egami , Tomohiro Koike

The problem of optimal stopping with finite horizon in discrete time is considered in view of maximizing the expected gain. The algorithm proposed in this paper is completely nonparametric in the sense that it uses observed data from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Michael Kohler , Harro Walk

We consider a doubly stochastic Poisson process with stochastic intensity $\lambda_t =n q\left(X_t\right)$ where $X$ is a continuous It\^o semimartingale and $n$ is an integer. Both processes are observed continuously over a fixed period…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-29 Thomas Deschatre
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