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In this paper we analyse a dynamic model of investment under uncertainty in a duopoly, in which each firm has an option to switch from the present market to a new market. We construct a subgame perfect equilibrium in mixed strategies and…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Jan-Henrik Steg , Jacco Thijssen

We consider the problem of detecting a `bump' in the intensity of a Poisson process or in a density. We analyze two types of likelihood ratio based statistics which allow for exact finite sample inference and asymptotically optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-26 Camilo Rivera , Guenther Walther

We consider a general queueing system with price-sensitive customers in which the service provider seeks to balance two objectives, maximizing the average revenue rate and minimizing the average queue length. Customers arrive according to a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Jacob Bergquist , Adam N. Elmachtoub

We study the optimal stopping problem of pricing an American Put option on a Zero Coupon Bond (ZCB) in the Musiela's parametrization of the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) model for forward interest rates. First we show regularity properties of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-03 Maria B. Chiarolla , Tiziano De Angelis

Stationary stochastic processes with independent increments, of which the Poisson process is a prominent example, are widely used to describe real world events. With the basic assumption that a counting process is stationary and has…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Enzhi Li

For optimal stopping problems with time-inconsistent preference, we measure the inherent level of time-inconsistency by taking the time needed to turn the naive strategies into the sophisticated ones. In particular, when in a repeated…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-22 Sang Hu , Zihan Zhou

Sequential estimation of a vector of linear regression coefficients is considered under both centralized and decentralized setups. In sequential estimation, the number of observations used for estimation is determined by the observed…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-18 Yasin Yilmaz , George V. Moustakides , Xiaodong Wang

We propose an alternative approach for solving a number of well-studied optimal stopping problems for L\'evy processes. Instead of the usual method of guess-and-verify based on martingale properties of the value function, we suggest a more…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-15 Erik J. Baurdoux

In this paper, we study the optimal stopping problem in the so-called exploratory framework, in which the agent takes actions randomly conditioning on current state and an entropy-regularized term is added to the reward functional. Such a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Yuchao Dong

Consider the optimal stopping problem of a one-dimensional diffusion with positive discount. Based on Dynkin's characterization of the value as the minimal excessive majorant of the reward and considering its Riesz representation, we give…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-03 Fabián Crocce , Ernesto Mordecki

Bayesian optimization has been proposed as a practical and efficient tool through which to tune parameters in many difficult settings. Recently, such techniques have been combined with real-time fMRI to propose a novel framework which turns…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-10 Romy Lorenz , Ricardo P Monti , Ines R Violante , Aldo A Faisal , Christoforos Anagnostopoulos , Robert Leech , Giovanni Montana

We show that "full-bang" control is optimal in a problem that combines features of (i) sequential least-squares {\it estimation} with Bayesian updating, for a random quantity observed in a bath of white noise; (ii) bounded {\it control} of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas

An unconventional approach for optimal stopping under model ambiguity is introduced. Besides ambiguity itself, we take into account how ambiguity-averse an agent is. This inclusion of ambiguity attitude, via an $\alpha$-maxmin nonlinear…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Xiang Yu

In this paper, we study the optimal stopping problem in the case where the reward is given by a family $(\phi(\tau ),\;\;\tau \in \stopo)$ of non negative random variables indexed by predictable stopping times. We treat the problem by means…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Siham Bouhadou , Youssef Ouknine

This paper is concerned with the stochastic linear-quadratic optimal control problem with Poisson jumps. The coefficients in the state equation and the weighting matrices in the cost functional are all deterministic but are allowed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Zixuan Li , Jingtao Shi

This paper shows that penalized backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE), which is often used to approximate and solve the corresponding reflected BSDE, admits both optimal stopping representation and optimal control representation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-01 Gechun Liang

We introduce a new method to price American options based on Chebyshev interpolation. In each step of a dynamic programming time-stepping we approximate the value function with Chebyshev polynomials. The key advantage of this approach is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-15 Kathrin Glau , Mirco Mahlstedt , Christian Pötz

General sufficient conditions are given for absolute continuity and convergence in variation of the distributions of the unctionals on a probability space, generated by a Poisson point measure. The phase space of the Poisson point measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Alexey M. Kulik

We consider stopping criteria that balance algebraic and discretization errors for the conjugate gradient algorithm applied to high-order finite element discretizations of Poisson problems. Firstly, we introduce a new stopping criterion…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Yichen Guo , Eric de Sturler , Tim Warburton

Despite significant advancements in machine learning for derivative pricing, the efficient and accurate valuation of American options remains a persistent challenge due to complex exercise boundaries, near-expiry behavior, and intricate…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Andrey Itkin
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