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In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-16 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer

A novel quickest detection setting is proposed which is a generalization of the well-known Bayesian change-point detection model. Suppose \{(X_i,Y_i)\}_{i\geq 1} is a sequence of pairs of random variables, and that S is a stopping time with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Urs Niesen , Aslan Tchamkerten

Consider the problem on sequential change-point detection on multiple data streams. We provide the asymptotic lower bounds of the detection delays at all levels of change-point sparsity and we derive a smaller asymptotic lower bound of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Jingyan Huang

It is an experimental design problem in which there are two Poisson sources with two possible and known rates, and one counter. Through a switch, the counter can observe the sources individually or the counts can be combined so that the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Muhammad Fahad , Daniel R. Fuhrmann

The goal of subsampling is to select an informative subset of all observations, when using the full data for statistical analysis is not viable. We construct locally $ D $-optimal subsampling designs under a Poisson regression model with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Torsten Reuter , Rainer Schwabe

We present a novel theoretical result on estimation of local time and occupation time measure of an {\alpha}-stable L\'evy process with {\alpha} in (1, 2). Our approach is based upon computing the conditional expectation of the desired…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Chiara Amorino , Arturo Jaramillo , Mark Podolskij

We develop methods to solve general optimal stopping problems with opportunities to stop that arrive randomly. Such problems occur naturally in applications with market frictions. Pivotal to our approach is that our methods operate on…

A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Thomas Deschatre , Joseph Mikael

We consider a polling system with two queues, exhaustive service, no switch-over times and exponential service times. The waiting cost depends on the position of the queue relative to the server: It costs a customer c per time unit to wait…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 I. J. B. F. Adan , V. G. Kulkarni , N. Lee , A. A. J Lefeber

We consider optimal stopping problems with finite-time horizon and state-dependent discounting. The underlying process is a one-dimensional linear diffusion and the gain function is time-homogeneous and difference of two convex functions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Tiziano De Angelis

Stop-loss rules are often studied in the financial literature, but the stop-loss levels are seldom constructed systematically. In many papers, and indeed in practice as well, the level of the stops is too often set arbitrarily. Guided by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-06 Antoine Emil Zambelli

We study the properties of the free boundaries and the corresponding hitting times in the context of optimal stopping in discrete time. We first prove the continuity of the map from the boundaries to the expected value of the corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 H. Mete Soner , Valentin Tissot-Daguette

We consider a change detection problem in which the arrival rate of a Poisson process changes suddenly at some unknown and unobservable disorder time. It is assumed that the prior distribution of the disorder time is known. The objective is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Semih Sezer

In this paper we consider discrete and continuous time risk sensitive optimal stopping problem. Using suitable properties of the underlying Feller-Markov process we prove continuity of the optimal stopping value function and provide formula…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera , Łukasz Stettner

We prove that the perpetual American put option price of level dependent volatility model with compound Poisson jumps is convex and is the classical solution of its associated quasi-variational inequality, that it is $C^2$ except at the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-01-21 Erhan Bayraktar

We derive closed-form solutions to the optimal stopping problems related to the pricing of perpetual American standard and lookback put and call options in the extensions of the Black-Merton-Scholes model with progressively enlarged…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Pavel V. Gapeev , Libo Li

For $\tau$ a stopping rule adapted to a sequence of $n$ iid observations, we define the loss to be $\ex [ q(R_\tau)]$, where $R_j$ is the rank of the $j$th observation, and $q$ is a nondecreasing function of the rank. This setting covers…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander V. Gnedin

Optimal stopping problems give rise to random distributions describing how many applicants the decision-maker will sample or interview before choosing one, a quantity sometimes referred to as the search time or process duration. This…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-13 Simon Demers

This paper starts by defining the criteria where the early-exercise of an American option is never optimal, under positive, or negative rates. It follows with a short analysis of the various shapes of the exercise region under negative…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-01 Jherek Healy

We formulate an optimal stopping problem for a geometric Brownian motion where the probability scale is distorted by a general nonlinear function. The problem is inherently time inconsistent due to the Choquet integration involved. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Zuo Quan Xu , Xun Yu Zhou