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Risk-limiting post election audits guarantee a high probability of correcting incorrect election results, independent of why the result was incorrect. Ballot-polling audits select ballots at random and interpret those ballots as evidence…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Michelle Blom , Peter J. Stuckey , Vanessa Teague

An election audit is risk-limiting if the audit limits (to a pre-specified threshold) the chance that an erroneous electoral outcome will be certified. Extant methods for auditing instant-runoff voting (IRV) elections are either not…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-06 Alexander Ek , Philip B. Stark , Peter J. Stuckey , Damjan Vukcevic

Ranked voting systems, such as instant-runoff voting (IRV) and single transferable vote (STV), are used in many places around the world. They are more complex than plurality and scoring rules, presenting a challenge for auditing their…

Instant-runoff voting (IRV) is used in several countries around the world. It requires voters to rank candidates in order of preference, and uses a counting algorithm that is more complex than systems such as first-past-the-post or scoring…

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are an increasingly important method for checking that the reported outcome of an election is, in fact, correct. Indeed, their use is increasingly being legislated. While effective methods for RLAs have been…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Michelle Blom , Peter J. Stuckey , Vanessa Teague , Damjan Vukcevic

Instant Runoff Voting (IRV) is used in elections for many political offices around the world. It allows voters to specify their preferences among candidates as a ranking. We identify a generalization of the rule, called Approval-IRV, that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Théo Delemazure , Dominik Peters

Instant runoff voting (IRV) is an increasingly-popular alternative to traditional plurality voting in which voters submit rankings over the candidates rather than single votes. In practice, elections using IRV often restrict the ballot…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Kiran Tomlinson , Johan Ugander , Jon Kleinberg

Elections where electors rank the candidates (or a subset of the candidates) in order of preference allow the collection of more information about the electors' intent. The most widely used election of this type is Instant-Runoff Voting…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Michelle Blom , Peter J. Stuckey , Vanessa Teague , Damjan Vukcevic

We present a method and software for ballot-polling risk-limiting audits (RLAs) based on Bernoulli sampling: ballots are included in the sample with probability $p$, independently. Bernoulli sampling has several advantages: (1) it does not…

How can we probabilistically predict the winner in a ranked-choice election without all ballots being counted? In this study, we introduce a novel algorithm designed to predict outcomes in Instant Runoff Voting (IRV) elections. The…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Nicholas Kapoor , P. Christopher Staecker

The margin of victory is easy to compute for many election schemes but difficult for Instant Runoff Voting (IRV). This is important because arguments about the correctness of an election outcome usually rely on the size of the electoral…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-21 Michelle Blom , Peter J. Stuckey , Vanessa J. Teague , Ron Tidhar

Accurately determining the outcome of an election is a complex task with many potential sources of error, ranging from software glitches in voting machines to procedural lapses to outright fraud. Risk-limiting audits (RLA) are statistically…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-16 Ian Waudby-Smith , Philip B. Stark , Aaditya Ramdas

Risk-limiting post-election audits limit the chance of certifying an electoral outcome if the outcome is not what a full hand count would show. Building on previous work, we report on pilot risk-limiting audits in four elections during 2008…

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) can use information about which ballot cards contain which contests (card-style data, CSD) to ensure that each contest receives adequate scrutiny, without examining more cards than necessary. RLAs using CSD in…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-19 Amanda K. Glazer , Jacob V. Spertus , Philip B. Stark

AWAIRE is one of two extant methods for conducting risk-limiting audits of instant-runoff voting (IRV) elections. In principle AWAIRE can audit IRV contests with any number of candidates, but the original implementation incurred memory and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Alexander Ek , Michelle Blom , Philip B. Stark , Peter J. Stuckey , Damjan Vukcevic

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are rigorous statistical procedures meant to detect invalid election results. RLAs examine paper ballots cast during the election to statistically assess the possibility of a disagreement between the winner…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-12-23 Benjamin Fuller , Abigail Harrison , Alexander Russell

Constructing efficient risk-limiting audits (RLAs) for multiwinner single transferable vote (STV) elections is a challenging problem. An STV RLA is designed to statistically verify that the reported winners of an election did indeed win…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Michelle Blom , Alexander Ek , Peter J. Stuckey , Vanessa Teague , Damjan Vukcevic

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are a significant tool in increasing confidence in the accuracy of elections. They consist of randomized algorithms which check that an election's vote tally, as reported by a vote tabulation system, corresponds…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Bar Karov , Moni Naor

U.S. elections rely heavily on computers such as voter registration databases, electronic pollbooks, voting machines, scanners, tabulators, and results reporting websites. These introduce digital threats to election outcomes. Risk-limiting…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Amanda K. Glazer , Jacob V. Spertus , Philip B. Stark

A Risk-Limiting Audit (RLA) is a statistical election tabulation audit with a rigorous error guarantee. We present ballot polling RLA PROVIDENCE, an audit with the efficiency of MINERVA and flexibility of BRAVO. We prove that PROVIDENCE is…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Oliver Broadrick , Poorvi L. Vora , Filip Zagórski
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