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We introduce a novel distribution-based estimator for the Hurst parameter of log-volatility, leveraging the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic to assess the scaling behavior of entire distributions rather than individual moments. To address the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-04 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

We provide an alternative method for analysis of multifractal properties of time series. The new approach takes into account the behaviour of the whole multifractal profile of the generalized Hurst exponent $h(q)$ for all moment orders $q$,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-24 Dariusz Grech , Grzegorz Pamuła

New simulation approaches to evaluating path-dependent options without matrix inversion issues nor Euler bias are evaluated. They employ three main contributions: Stochastic approximation replaces regression in the LSM algorithm; Explicit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-13 Michael A. Kouritzin

We propose a discrete-time, finite-state stationary process that can possess long-range dependence. Among the interesting features of this process is that each state can have different long-term dependency, i.e., the indicator sequence can…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Jeonghwa Lee

Long memory in the sense of slowly decaying autocorrelations is a stylized fact in many time series from economics and finance. The fractionally integrated process is the workhorse model for the analysis of these time series. Nevertheless,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Uwe Hassler , Marc-Oliver Pohle

Strongly consistent and asymptotic normal estimators of the Hurst index of a stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying process.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 K. Kubilius , V. Skorniakov , D. Melichov

Motivated by certain problems of statistical physics we consider a stationary stochastic process in which deterministic evolution is interrupted at random times by upward jumps of a fixed size. If the evolution consists of linear decay, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 O. Deloubriere , H. J. Hilhorst

We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

Robust estimation and variable selection procedure are developed for the extended t-process regression model with functional data. Statistical properties such as consistency of estimators and predictions are obtained. Numerical studies show…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-20 Zhanfeng Wang , Kai Li , Jian Qing Shi

We present an efficient method for the computation of homogenized coefficients of divergence-form operators with random coefficients. The approach is based on a multiscale representation of the homogenized coefficients. We then implement…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-17 A. Hannukainen , J. -C. Mourrat , H. Stoppels

In this paper, we consider a stochastic model based on the Cox- Ingersoll- Ross model (CIR). The stochastic model is parameterized analytically by applying It\^o's calculus and the trend functions of the proposed process is calculated. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Nafidi Ahmed , El Azri Abdenbi

A biomechanical model often requires parameter estimation and selection in a known but complicated nonlinear function. Motivated by observing that data from a head-neck position tracking system, one of biomechanical models, show…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hojun You , Kyubaek Yoon , Wei-Ying Wu , Jongeun Choi , Chae Young Lim

We examine two stochastic processes with random parameters, which in their basic versions (i.e., when the parameters are fixed) are Gaussian and display long range dependence and anomalous diffusion behavior, characterized by the Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Hubert Woszczek , Agnieszka Wylomanska , Aleksei Chechkin

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

Asymptotic expansion is presented for an estimator of the Hurst coefficient of a fractional Brownian motion. For this, a recently developed theory of asymptotic expansion of the distribution of Wiener functionals is applied. The effects of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Yuliya Mishura , Hayate Yamagishi , Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider a longitudinal data structure consisting of baseline covariates, time-varying treatment variables, intermediate time-dependent covariates, and a possibly time dependent outcome. Previous studies have shown that estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Linh Tran , Maya Petersen , Joshua Schwab , Mark J van der Laan

We propose solution of the problem of the mean square optimal estimation of linear functionals which depend on the unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments based on observations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk

Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes non-trivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or sub-optimally handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato