Related papers: A comparison of Hurst exponent estimators in long-…
In order to extract correlation information inherited in stochastic time series, the visibility graph algorithm has been recently proposed, by which a time series can be mapped onto a complex network. We demonstrate that the visibility…
A determinantal point process is a stochastic point process that is commonly used to capture negative correlations. It has become increasingly popular in machine learning in recent years. Sampling a determinantal point process however…
We estimate the parameter of a stationary time series process by minimizing the integrated weighted mean squared error between the empirical and simulated characteristic function, when the true characteristic functions cannot be explicitly…
The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…
Estimation of the four generalized lambda distribution parameters is not straightforward, and available estimators that perform best have large computation times. In this paper, we introduce a simple two-step estimator of the parameters…
Mathematical proof aims to deliver confident conclusions, but a very similar process of deduction can be used to make uncertain estimates that are open to revision. A key ingredient in such reasoning is the use of a "default" estimate of…
A novel method is presented to compute the exit time for the stochastic simulation algorithm. The method is based on the addition of a series of random variables and is derived using the convolution theorem. The final distribution is…
Concerning bivariate least squares linear regression, the classical approach pursued for functional models in earlier attempts is reviewed using a new formalism in terms of deviation (matrix) traces. Within the framework of classical error…
The covariance between the return of an asset and its realized volatility can be approximated as the difference between two specific implied volatilities. In this paper it is proved that in the small time-to-maturity limit the approximation…
For the multivariate COGARCH process, we obtain explicit expressions for the second-order structure of the "squared returns" process observed on an equidistant grid. Based on this, we present a generalized method of moments estimator for…
The Heston stochastic volatility model is a standard model for valuing financial derivatives, since it can be calibrated using semi-analytical formulas and captures the most basic structure of the market for financial derivatives with…
In this article, we present the least squares estimator for the drift parameter in a linear regression model driven by the increment of a fractional Brownian motion sampled at random times. For two different random times, Jittered and…
This paper describes, in detail, techniques for measuring the Hurst parameter. Measurements are given on artificial data both in a raw form and corrupted in various ways to check the robustness of the tools in question. Measurements are…
The problem of estimating the coefficient of bivariate tail dependence is considered here from the robustness point of view; it combines two apparently contradictory theories of robust statistics and extreme value statistics. The usual…
In this paper we study covariance estimation with missing data. We consider missing data mechanisms that can be independent of the data, or have a time varying dependency. Additionally, observed variables may have arbitrary (non uniform)…
Strongly consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the Hurst index and volatility parameters of solutions of stochastic differential equations with polynomial drift are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of…
Inference for statistics of a stationary time series often involve nuisance parameters and sampling distributions that are difficult to estimate. In this paper, we propose the method of orthogonal samples, which can be used to address some…
This paper characterizes the impact of covariate serial dependence on the non-asymptotic estimation error bound of penalized regressions (PRs). Focusing on the direct relationship between the degree of cross-correlation between covariates…
Error-in-variables regression is a common ingredient in treatment effect estimators using panel data. This includes synthetic control estimators, counterfactual time series forecasting estimators, and combinations. We study high-dimensional…
Linear regression estimators are known to be sensitive to outliers, and one alternative to obtain a robust and efficient estimator of the regression parameter is to model the error with Student's $t$ distribution. In this article, we…