Related papers: A comparison of Hurst exponent estimators in long-…
We analyze the ordinal structure of long-range dependent time series. To this end, we use so called ordinal patterns which describe the relative position of consecutive data points. We provide two estimators for the probabilities of ordinal…
We discuss a class of difference-based estimators for the autocovariance in nonparametric regression when the signal is discontinuous (change-point regression), possibly highly fluctuating, and the errors form a stationary $m$-dependent…
Estimating a sparse covariance matrix is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistics. However, thresholding methods developed for independent data are generally not directly applicable to high-dimensional time series, where…
We apply the Hurst exponent idea for investigation of DJIA index time-series data. The behavior of the local Hurst exponent prior to drastic changes in financial series signal is analyzed. The optimal length of the time-window over which…
Long memory or long range dependency is an important phenomenon that may arise in the analysis of time series or spatial data. Most of the definitions of long memory of a stationary process $X=\{X_1, X_2,\cdots,\}$ are based on the…
In a variety of problems originating in supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning, the loss function is defined by an expectation over a collection of random variables, which might be part of a probabilistic model or the external…
A method for estimating the cross-correlation $C_{xy}(\tau)$ of long-range correlated series $x(t)$ and $y(t)$, at varying lags $\tau$ and scales $n$, is proposed. For fractional Brownian motions with Hurst exponents $H_1$ and $H_2$, the…
In this note, we investigate possible relationships between the bivariate Hurst exponent $H_{xy}$ and an average of the separate Hurst exponents $\frac{1}{2}(H_x+H_y)$. We show that two cases are well theoretically founded. These are the…
Many statistical applications require the quantification of joint dependence among more than two random vectors. In this work, we generalize the notion of distance covariance to quantify joint dependence among d >= 2 random vectors. We…
This work presents an exact solution to the generalized Heston model, where the model parameters are assumed to have linear time dependence The solution for the model in expressed in terms of confluent hypergeometric functions.
Scaling and multiscaling financial time series have been widely studied in the literature. The research on this topic is vast and still flourishing. One way to analyze the scaling properties of time series is through the estimation of their…
It is proposed a class of statistical estimators $\hat H =(\hat H_1, \ldots, \hat H_d)$ for the Hurst parameters $H=(H_1, \ldots, H_d)$ of fractional Brownian field via multi-dimensional wavelet analysis and least squares, which are…
We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…
The performance of the multifractal detrended analysis on short time series is evaluated for synthetic samples of several mono- and multifractal models. The reconstruction of the generalized Hurst exponents is used to determine the range of…
An exclusion particle model is considered as a highly simplified model of a limit order market. Its price behavior reproduces the well known crossover from over-diffusion (Hurst exponent H>1/2) to diffusion (H=1/2) when the time horizon is…
This paper develops a point impact linear regression model in which the trajectory of a continuous stochastic process, when evaluated at a sensitive time point, is associated with a scalar response. The proposed model complements and is…
In this paper, we study robust covariance estimation under the approximate factor model with observed factors. We propose a novel framework to first estimate the initial joint covariance matrix of the observed data and the factors, and then…
We propose a model selection approach for covariance estimation of a multi-dimensional stochastic process. Under very general assumptions, observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points, we construct an estimator of…
Multivariate processes with long-range dependent properties are found in a large number of applications including finance, geophysics and neuroscience. For real data applications, the correlation between time series is crucial. Usual…
We consider the general class of time-homogeneous stochastic dynamical systems, both discrete and continuous, and study the problem of learning a representation of the state that faithfully captures its dynamics. This is instrumental to…