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Early Warning Signals (EWSs) are vital for implementing preventive measures before a disease turns into a pandemic. While new diseases exhibit unique behaviors, they often share fundamental characteristics from a dynamical systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Reza Miry , Amit K. Chakraborty , Russell Greiner , Mark A. Lewis , Hao Wang , Tianyu Guan , Pouria Ramazi

Mobile sensing appears as a promising solution for health inference problem (e.g., influenza-like symptom recognition) by leveraging diverse smart sensors to capture fine-grained information about human behaviors and ambient contexts.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Guimin Dong , Lihua Cai , Mingyue Tang , Laura E. Barnes , Mehdi Boukhechba

Epidemic forecasting is the key to effective control of epidemic transmission and helps the world mitigate the crisis that threatens public health. To better understand the transmission and evolution of epidemics, we propose EpiGNN, a graph…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-25 Feng Xie , Zhong Zhang , Liang Li , Bin Zhou , Yusong Tan

Advanced epidemic forecasting is critical for enabling precision containment strategies, highlighting its strategic importance for public health security. While recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated effectiveness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Chenghua Gong , Rui Sun , Yuhao Zheng , Juyuan Zhang , Tianjun Gu , Liming Pan , Linyuan Lv

The seasonality of respiratory diseases (common cold, influenza, etc.) is a well-known phenomenon studied from ancient times. The development of predictive models is still not only an actual unsolved problem of mathematical epidemiology but…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-28 Eugene B. Postnikov , Dmitry V. Tatarenkov

Timely and accurate forecasts of seasonal influenza would assist public health decision-makers in planning intervention strategies, efficiently allocating resources, and possibly saving lives. For these reasons, influenza forecasts are…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-01 Dave Osthus , James Gattiker , Reid Priedhorsky , Sara Y. Del Valle

This paper introduces an innovative framework designed for progressive (granular in time to onset) prediction of seizures through the utilization of a Deep Learning (DL) methodology based on non-invasive multi-modal sensor networks.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-05 Ali Saeizadeh , Douglas Schonholtz , Joseph S. Neimat , Pedram Johari , Tommaso Melodia

Predicting the human burden of vector-borne diseases from limited surveillance data remains a major challenge, particularly in the presence of nonlinear transmission dynamics and delayed effects arising from vector ecology and human…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Dimitri Breda , Muhammad Tanveer , Jianhong Wu , Xue Zhang

Epidemic forecasting has become an integral part of real-time infectious disease outbreak response. While collaborative ensembles composed of statistical and machine learning models have become the norm for real-time forecasting,…

A model-based signal processing framework is proposed for pandemic trend forecasting and control, by using non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) at regional and country levels worldwide. The control objective is to prescribe quantifiable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Reza Sameni

We present a deep learning approach for forecasting short-term employment changes and assessing long-term industry health using labor market data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Our system leverages a Long- and Short-Term…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Adam Nelson-Archer , Aleia Sen , Meena Al Hasani , Sofia Davila , Jessica Le , Omar Abbouchi

Parameter inference and state estimation in stochastic and partially observed biological systems remain major problems in mathematical biology. In this work, we introduce a two-dimensional lattice graph model for the spread of infectious…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-29 Ihtisham Ul Haq , Serge Richard

Real-world time series are often governed by complex nonlinear dynamics. Understanding these underlying dynamics is crucial for precise future prediction. While deep learning has achieved major success in time series forecasting, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Abrar Majeedi , Viswanatha Reddy Gajjala , Satya Sai Srinath Namburi GNVV , Nada Magdi Elkordi , Yin Li

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) has emerged as a powerful tool for extracting meaningful features from complex data structures, driving significant advancements in fields such as neuroscience, biology, machine learning, and financial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 ZiXin Lin , Nur Fariha Syaqina Zulkepli

Epidemiological early warning systems for dengue fever rely on up-to-date epidemiological data to forecast future incidence. However, epidemiological data typically requires time to be available, due to the application of time-consuming…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-23 Julio Albinati , Wagner Meira , Gisele L. Pappa , Mauro Teixeira , Cecilia Marques-Toledo

Federated edge learning (FEEL) enables collaborative model training across distributed clients over wireless networks without exposing raw data. While most existing studies assume static datasets, in real-world scenarios clients may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Yuxuan Bai , Yuxuan Sun , Tan Chen , Wei Chen , Sheng Zhou , Zhisheng Niu

Recent pandemics have highlighted the critical role of infectious disease models in guiding public health decision-making, driving demand for realistic models that can provide timely answers under uncertainty. Compartmental models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Xiahui Li , Fergus J. Chadwick , Ben Swallow

Machine learning for early syndrome diagnosis aims to solve the intricate task of predicting a ground truth label that most often is the outcome (effect) of a medical consensus definition applied to observed clinical measurements (causes),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Michael Staniek , Marius Fracarolli , Michael Hagmann , Stefan Riezler

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought forth the importance of epidemic forecasting for decision makers in multiple domains, ranging from public health to the economy as a whole. While forecasting epidemic progression is frequently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Alexander Rodríguez , Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Pulak Agarwal , Javen Ho , Mira Patel , Suchet Sapre , B. Aditya Prakash

Accurately estimating the informativeness of individual samples in a dataset is an important objective in deep learning, as it can guide sample selection, which can improve model efficiency and accuracy by removing redundant or potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Johannes Kaiser , Kristian Schwethelm , Daniel Rueckert , Georgios Kaissis