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Consider the real Markov walk $S_n = X_1+ \dots+ X_n$ with increments $\left(X_n\right)_{n\geq 1}$ defined by a stochastic recursion starting at $X_0=x$. For a starting point $y>0$ denote by $\tau_y$ the exit time of the process $\left(…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Émile Le Page

Let $N$ and $M$ be positive integers satisfying $1\le M\le N$, and let $0<p_0<p_1<1$. Define a process $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^\infty$ on $\mathbb{Z}$ as follows. At each step, the process jumps either one step to the right or one step to the left,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-11 Ross G. Pinsky

Let X_t, 0<=t<=T be a one-dimensional stochastic process with independent and stationary increments. This paper considers the problem of stopping the process X_t "as close as possible" to its eventual supremum M_T:=sup{X_t: 0<=t<=T}, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-21 Pieter C. Allaart

We present the first algorithm that samples $\max_{n\geq0}\{S_{n}-n^{\alpha}\},$ where $S_n$ is a mean zero random walk, and $n^{\alpha}$ with $\alpha\in(1/2,1)$ defines a nonliner boundary. We show that our algorithm has finite expected…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Jose Blanchet , Jing Dong , Zhipeng Liu

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

We consider a random walk in $\mathbb Z^d$ which jumps from a site $x$ to a nearest neighboring site $x+e$ (where $e\in V:=\{x\in\mathbb Z^d: |x|_1=1\}$) with probability $p_0(e)+\epsilon\xi(x,e)$. Here $\sum_e p_0(e)=1$, $p_0(e)> 0$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Alejandro F. Ramirez

The behavior of the maximal displacement of a supercritical branching random walk has been a subject of intense studies for a long time. But only recently the case of time-inhomogeneous branching has gained focus. The contribution of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-23 Bastien Mallein , Piotr Miłoś

A random walk (or a Wiener process), possibly with drift, is observed in a noisy or delayed fashion. The problem considered in this paper is to estimate the first time \tau the random walk reaches a given level. Specifically, the p-moment…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-03-22 Marat V. Burnashev , Aslan Tchamkerten

Consider a centred random walk in dimension one with a positive finite variance $\sigma^2$, and let $\tau_B$ be the hitting time for a bounded Borel set $B$ with a non-empty interior. We prove the asymptotic $P_x(\tau_B > n) \sim \sqrt{2 /…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Vladislav Vysotsky

We consider Random Walk in Random Scenery, denoted $X_n$, where the random walk is symmetric on $Z^d$, with $d>4$, and the random field is made up of i.i.d random variables with a stretched exponential tail decay, with exponent $\alpha$…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amine Asselah , Fabienne Castell

Let $(X_n)_{n\geq 0}$ be a Markov chain with values in a finite state space $\mathbb X$ starting at $X_0=x \in \mathbb X$ and let $f$ be a real function defined on $\mathbb X$. Set $S_n=\sum_{k=1}^{n} f(X_k)$, $n\geqslant 1$. For any $y \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Emile Le Page

Let $X_1$, $X_2$, $...$ be a sequence of independently and identically distributed random variables with $\mathsf{E}X_1=0$, and let $S_0=0$ and $S_t=S_{t-1}+X_t$, $t=1,2,...$, be a random walk. Denote $\tau={cases}\inf\{t>1: S_t\leq0\},…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-29 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

We consider a one-dimensional Brownian motion of fixed duration $T$. Using a path-integral technique, we compute exactly the probability distribution of the difference $\tau=t_{\min}-t_{\max}$ between the time $t_{\min}$ of the global…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-13 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

This note considers a variation of the full-information secretary problem where the random variables to be observed are independent and identically distributed. Consider $X_1,\dots,X_n$ to be an independent sequence of random variables, let…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-11 José A. Islas

We study a continuous time branching process where an individual splits into two daughters with rate b and dies with rate a, starting from a single individual at t=0. We show that the model can be mapped exactly to a random walk problem…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-13 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

Consider a discrete-time one-dimensional supercritical branching random walk. We study the probability that there exists an infinite ray in the branching random walk that always lies above the line of slope $\gamma-\epsilon$, where $\gamma$…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-16 Nina Gantert , Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

Let {X_n,n\geq0} be a Markov chain on a general state space X with transition probability P and stationary probability \pi. Suppose an additive component S_n takes values in the real line R and is adjoined to the chain such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Cheng-Der Fuh

We consider the process $\{x-N(t):t\geq 0\}$, where $x\in\mathbb{R}_+$ and $\{N(t):t\geq 0\}$ is a renewal process with light-tailed distributed holding times. We are interested in the joint distribution of $(\tau(x),A(x))$ where $\tau(x)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

In this article, we study the maximal displacement in a branching random walk. We prove that its asymptotic behaviour consists in a first almost sure ballistic term, a negative logarithmic correction in probability and stochastically…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Bastien Mallein

This note is devoted to the study of the maximum of the excursion of a random walk with negative drift and light-tailed increments. More precisely, we determine the local asymptotics of the joint distribution of the length, maximum and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel