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We consider random variables observed at arrival times of a renewal process, which possibly depends on those observations and has regularly varying steps with infinite mean. Due to the dependence and heavy tailed steps, the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

A collection of identical and independent rare event first passage times is considered. The problem of finding the fastest out of $N$ such events to occur is called an extreme first passage time. The rare event times are singular and limit…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-04-26 James MacLaurin , Jay M. Newby

We consider asymptotics for the maximum of a modulated random walk whose increments $\xi_n^{X_n}$ are heavy-tailed. Of particular interest is the case where the modulating process $X$ is regenerative. Here we study also the maximum of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Stan Zachary

We study the maximal displacement of branching random walks in a class of time inhomogeneous environments. Specifically, binary branching random walks with Gaussian increments will be considered, where the variances of the increments change…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-07 Ofer Zeitouni , Ming Fang

Let $\{\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots\}$ be a sequence of independent random variables, and $\eta$ be a counting random variable independent of this sequence. In addition, let $S_0:=0$ and $S_n:=\xi_1+\xi_2+\cdots+\xi_n$ for $n\geqslant1$. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Ieva Marija Andrulytė , Martynas Manstavičius , Jonas Šiaulys

We consider a centered random walk with finite variance and investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the area under this walk remains positive up to a large time $n$. Assuming that the moment of order $2+\delta$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

Let $\{\xi(k), k \in \mathbb{Z} \}$ be a stationary sequence of random variables with conditions of type $D(u_n)$ and $D'(u_n)$. Let $\{S_n, n \in \mathbb{N} \}$ be a transient random walk in the domain of attraction of a stable law. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Nicolas Chenavier , Ahmad Darwiche

Consider a family of $\Delta$-latticed aperiodic random walks $\{S^{(a)},0\le a\le a_0\}$ with increments $X_i^{(a)}$ and non-positive drift $-a$. Suppose that $\sup_{a\le a_0}\mathbf{E}[(X^{(a)})^2]<\infty$ and $\sup_{a\le…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Johannes Kugler

Given a set of independent Poisson random variables with common mean, we study the distribution of their maximum and obtain an accurate asymptotic formula to locate the most probable value of the maximum. We verify our analytic results with…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-26 K. M. Briggs , L. Song , T. Prellberg

We consider first passage times $\tau_u = \inf\{n:\; Y_n>u\}$ for the perpetuity sequence $$ Y_n = B_1 + A_1 B_2 + \cdots + (A_1\ldots A_{n-1})B_n, $$ where $(A_n,B_n)$ are i.i.d. random variables with values in ${\mathbb R} ^+\times…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-13 Dariusz Buraczewski , Ewa Damek , Jacek Zienkiewicz

Consider a family of random walks $S_n^{(a)}=X_1^{(a)}+\cdots+X_n^{(a)}$ with negative drift $\mathbf E X_1^{(a)}=-a<0$ and finite variance $\mbox{var}(X_1^{(a)})=\sigma^2<\infty$.Let $M^{(a)}=\max_{n\ge 0} S_n^{(a)}$ be the maximums of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Denis Denisov , Johannes Kugler

This elementary treatment first summarizes extreme values of a Bernoulli random walk on the one-dimensional integer lattice over a finite discrete time interval. Both the symmetric (unbiased) and asymmetric (biased) cases are discussed.…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Steven R. Finch

We evaluate the limit distribution of the maximal excursion of a random walk in any dimension for homogeneous environments and for self-similar supports under the assumption of spherical symmetry. This distribution is obtained in closed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Roger Bidaux , Jerome Chave , Radim Vocka

We consider a random walk among i.i.d. obstacles on the one dimensional integer lattice under the condition that the walk starts from the origin and reaches a remote location y. The obstacles are represented by a killing potential, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Elena Kosygina

In this article we refine well-known results concerning the fluctuations of one-dimensional random walks. More precisely, if $(S_n)_{n \geq 0}$ is a random walk starting from 0 and $r\geq 0$, we obtain the precise asymptotic behavior as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Rim Essifi , Marc Peigné , Kilian Raschel

We study the exact asymptotics for the distribution of the first time $\tau_x$ a L\'evy process $X_t$ crosses a negative level $-x$. We prove that $\mathbf P(\tau_x>t)\sim V(x)\mathbf P(X_t\ge 0)/t$ as $t\to\infty$ for a certain function…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-06 Denis Denisov , Vsevolod Shneer

Let ${Z_n}_{n\ge 0}$ be a random walk with a negative drift and i.i.d. increments with heavy-tailed distribution and let $M=\sup_{n\ge 0}Z_n$ be its supremum. Asmussen & Kl{\"u}ppelberg (1996) considered the behavior of the random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-09 Søren Asmussen , Sergey Foss

We derive a lower bound for the probability that a random walk with i.i.d.\ increments and small negative drift $\mu$ exceeds the value $x>0$ by time $N$. When the moment generating functions are bounded in an interval around the origin,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Ofer Busani , Timo Seppäläinen

Let S_n=X_1+...+X_n be a sum of independent symmetric random variables such that |X_{i}|\leq 1. Denote by W_n=\epsilon_{1}+...+\epsilon_{n} a sum of independent random variables such that \prob{\eps_i = \pm 1} = 1/2. We prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Dainius Dzindzalieta , Matas Šileikis , Tomas Juškevičius

We derive subexponential tail asymptotics for the distribution of the maximum of a compound renewal process with linear component and of a L\'evy process, both with negative drift, over random time horizon $\tau$ that does not depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski