A sharp bound for winning within a proportion of the maximum of a sequence
Abstract
This note considers a variation of the full-information secretary problem where the random variables to be observed are independent and identically distributed. Consider to be an independent sequence of random variables, let , and the objective is to select the maximum of the sequence. What is the maximum probability of "stopping at the maximum"? That is, what is the stopping time adapted to that maximizes ? This problem was examined by Gilbert and Mosteller \cite{GilMost} when in addition the common distribution is continuous. The optimal win probability in this case is denoted by . What if it is desired to "stop within a proportion of the maximum"? That is, for , what is the stopping rule that maximizes ? In this note both problems are treated as games, it is proven that for any continuous random variable , if is the optimal stopping rule then , and this lower bound is sharp. Some examples and another interesting result are presented.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1709.02416,
title = {A sharp bound for winning within a proportion of the maximum of a sequence},
author = {José A. Islas},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1709.02416},
year = {2017}
}