Related papers: Central limit theorem for a partially observed int…
We construct $P(phi)_1$-processes indexed by the full time-line, separately derived from the functional integral representations of the relativistic and non-relativistic Nelson models in quantum field theory. These two cases differ…
The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…
We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…
We study fluctuations of the empirical processes of a non-equilibrium interacting particle system consisting of two species over a domain that is recently introduced in [8] and establish its functional central limit theorem. This…
Whereas classical Markov decision processes maximize the expected reward, we consider minimizing the risk. We propose to evaluate the risk associated to a given policy over a long-enough time horizon with the help of a central limit…
In this paper, we extend the central limit theorem of the additive functional of the nearest-neighbor zero-range process given in \cite{Quastel2002} to the long-range case. Our main results show that in several cases the limit processes are…
We present a general approach to establish the Central Limit Theorem with error bounds for sequential dynamical systems. The main tool we develop is the application to this setting of a projective metric on complex cones, following the…
Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ are independent identically distributed Bernoulli random variables with mean $p$. A Bernoulli factory for a function $f$ takes as input $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ and outputs a random variable that is Bernoulli with mean…
In this paper, we derive a central limit theorem for collections of weakly correlated random variables indexed by discrete metric spaces, where the correlation decays in the distance of the indices. The correlation structure we study…
We study the problem of learning unknown parameters in stochastic interacting particle systems with polynomial drift, interaction and diffusion functions from the path of one single particle in the system. Our estimator is obtained by…
We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…
We prove a Functional Central Limit Theorem for the position of a Tagged Particle in the one-dimensional Asymmetric Simple Exclusion Process in the hyperbolic scaling, starting from a Bernoulli product measure conditioned to have a particle…
The work [8] established memory loss in the time-dependent (non-random) case of uniformly expanding maps of the interval. Here we find conditions under which we have convergence to the normal distribution of the appropriately scaled…
We consider a class of interacting particle systems with values in $[0,\8)^{\zd}$, of which the binary contact path process is an example. For $d \ge 3$ and under a certain square integrability condition on the total number of the…
The concept of individual admixture (IA) assumes that the genome of individuals is composed of alleles inherited from $K$ ancestral populations. Each copy of each allele has the same chance $q_k$ to originate from population $k$, and…
Suppose $B_i:= B(p,r_i)$ are nested balls of radius $r_i$ about a point $p$ in a dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$. The question of whether $T^i x\in B_i$ infinitely often (i. o.) for $\mu$ a.e.\ $x$ is often called the shrinking target problem.…
This paper establishes central limit theorems for Polyak-Ruppert averaged Q-learning under asynchronous updates. We prove a non-asymptotic central limit theorem, where the convergence rate in Wasserstein distance explicitly reflects the…
When the sample path of a Hawkes process is observed discretely, such that only the total event counts in disjoint time intervals are known, the likelihood function becomes intractable. To overcome the challenge of likelihood-based…
In this paper, a very useful lemma (in two versions) is proved: it simplifies notably the essential step to establish a Lindeberg central limit theorem for dependent processes. Then, applying this lemma to weakly dependent processes…
A $U$-statistic of a Poisson point process is defined as the sum $\sum f(x_1,\ldots,x_k)$ over all (possibly infinitely many) $k$-tuples of distinct points of the point process. Using the Malliavin calculus, the Wiener-It\^{o} chaos…