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The free central-limit theorem, a fundamental theorem in free probability, states that empirical averages of freely independent random variables are asymptotically semi-circular. We extend this theorem to general dynamical systems of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Morgane Austern

The production of molecules in a chemical reaction network is modelled as a Poisson process with a Markov-modulated arrival rate and an exponential decay rate. We analyze the distributional properties of $M$, the number of molecules, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-17 D. Anderson , J. Blom , M. Mandjes , H. Thorsdottir , K. de Turck

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a multivariate Bernoulli process with auto-regressive feedback in the high-dimensional setting where the number of samples available is much less than the number of parameters. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Parthe Pandit , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Arash A. Amini , Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher

We propose a mean-field model of interacting point processes where each process has a memory of the time elapsed since its last event (age) and its recent past (leaky memory), generalizing Age-dependent Hawkes processes. The model is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Valentin Schmutz

We consider random matrices of the form $H_N=A_N+U_N B_N U^*_N$, where $A_N$, $B_N$ are two $N$ by $N$ deterministic Hermitian matrices and $U_N$ is a Haar distributed random unitary matrix. We establish a universal Central Limit Theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Zhigang Bao , Kevin Schnelli , Yuanyuan Xu

Fix an integer $p\geq 1$ and refer to it as the number of growing domains. For each $i\in\{1,\ldots,p\}$, fix a compact subset $D_i\subseteq\mathbb R^{d_i}$ where $d_1,\ldots,d_p\ge 1$. Let $d= d_1+\dots+d_{p}$ be the total underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Nikolai Leonenko , Leonardo Maini , Ivan Nourdin , Francesca Pistolato

Let I_1,...,I_n be independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, and let X_n=\sum_{j=1}^nI_j. For \nu in a bounded region, a local central limit theorem expansion of P(X_n=EX_n+\nu) is developed to any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Richard Arratia , Larry Goldstein , Bryan Langholz

We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

We consider a finite sequence of random points in a finite domain of a finite-dimensional Euclidean space. The points are sequentially allocated in the domain according to a model of cooperative sequential adsorption. The main peculiarity…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-11 V. Shcherbakov

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

Consider a stationary, weakly dependent sequence of random variables. Given only mild conditions, allowing for polynomial decay of the autocovariance function, we show a Berry-Esseen bound of optimal order $n^{-1/2}$ for studentized…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Moritz Jirak

Suppose that $\{X_t,\,t\ge0\}$ is a non-stationary Markov process, taking values in a Polish metric space $E$. We prove the law of large numbers and central limit theorem for an additive functional of the form $\int_0^T\psi(X_s)ds$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-26 Tomasz Komorowski , Anna Walczuk

When the limiting compensator of a sequence of martingales is continuous, we obtain a weak convergence theorem for the martingales; the limiting process can be written as a Brownian motion evaluated at the compensator and we find sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Bruno Rémillard , Jean Vaillancourt

For a joint model-based and design-based inference, we establish functional central limit theorems for the Horvitz-Thompson empirical process and the H\'ajek empirical process centered by their finite population mean as well as by their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Hélène Boistard , Hendrik P. Lopuhaä , Anne Ruiz-Gazen

Confidence intervals for a binomial parameter or for the ratio of Poisson means are commonly desired in high energy physics (HEP) applications such as measuring a detection efficiency or branching ratio. Due to the discreteness of the data,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-12-23 Robert D. Cousins , Kathryn E. Hymes , Jordan Tucker

We consider eigenvalues of generalized Wishart processes as well as particle systems, of which the empirical measures converge to deterministic measures as the dimension goes to infinity. In this paper, we obtain central limit theorems to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-12 Jian Song , Jianfeng Yao , Wangjun Yuan

We consider a counting problem in the setting of hyperbolic dynamics. Let $\phi_t : \Lambda \to \Lambda$ be a weak mixing hyperbolic flow. We count the proportion of prime periodic orbits of $\phi_t$, with length less than $T$, that satisfy…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Stephen Cantrell , Richard Sharp

We present a central limit theorem for stationary random fields that are short-range dependent and asymptotically independent. As an application, we present a central limit theorem for an infinite family of interacting It\^o-type diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Le Chen , Davar Khoshnevisan , David Nualart , Fei Pu

We study covariance matrix estimation for the case of partially observed random vectors, where different samples contain different subsets of vector coordinates. Each observation is the product of the variable of interest with a $0-1$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-06 Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

In order to characterize the fluctuation between the ergodic limit and the time-averaging estimator of a full discretization in a quantitative way, we establish a central limit theorem for the full discretization of the parabolic stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Tau Zhou
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