Related papers: Central limit theorem for a partially observed int…
We prove a central limit theorem for the length of the longest subsequence of a random permutation which follows one of a class of repeating patterns. This class includes every fixed pattern of ups and downs having at least one of each,…
A notion of local $U$-statistic process is introduced and central limit theorems in various norms are obtained for it. This involves the development of several inequalities for $U$-processes that may be useful in other contexts. This local…
Frequentists' inference often delivers point estimators associated with confidence intervals or sets for parameters of interest. Constructing the confidence intervals or sets requires understanding the sampling distributions of the point…
We study a multivariate, non-linear Hawkes process $Z^N$ on a $q$-Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi-graph with $N$ nodes. Each vertex is either excitatory (probability $p$) or inhibitory (probability $1-p$). If $p\neq\tfrac12$, we take the mean-field…
We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…
In this paper, we introduce a fundamental model for independent and identically distributed sequence with model uncertainty on the canonical space $(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N},\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N}))$ via probability kernels. Thanks…
Employing an effective formalism for decaying system we are able to investigate Heisenberg's uncertainty relation for observables measured at accelerator facilities. In particular we investigate the neutral K--meson system and show that,…
A latent internal process describes the state of some system, e.g. the social tension in a political conflict, the strength of an industrial component or the health status of a person. When this process reaches a predefined threshold, the…
Interference arises when the treatment assigned to one individual affects the outcomes of other individuals. Commonly, individuals are naturally grouped into clusters, and interference occurs only among individuals within the same cluster,…
A non-classical formulation of the central limit theorem is given for sequences of independent random variables with finite second moments. Singular sequences whose members all have a degenerate or normal distribution are excluded from…
In 1981, Karp and Sipser proved a law of large numbers for the matching number of a sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph, in an influential paper pioneering the so-called differential equation method for analysis of random graph processes.…
For $\alpha\in (1,2)$, we present a generalized central limit theorem for $\alpha$-stable random variables under sublinear expectation. The foundation of our proof is an interior regularity estimate for partial integro-differential…
The dynamics of one parameter diagonal group actions on finite volume homogeneous spaces has a partially hyperbolic feature. In this paper we extend the Liv\v{s}ic type result to these possibly noncompact and nonaccessible systems. We also…
Consider a supercritical Crump--Mode--Jagers process $(\mathcal Z_t^{\varphi})_{t \geq 0}$ counted with a random characteristic $\varphi$. Nerman's celebrated law of large numbers [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 57, 365--395, 1981] states that,…
We consider finite systems of $N$ interacting neurons described by non-linear Hawkes processes in a mean field frame. Neurons are described by their membrane potential. They spike randomly, at a rate depending on their potential. In between…
Hawkes process is a simple point process that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience, social networks,…
We examine interval estimation of the effect of a treatment T on an outcome Y given the existence of an unobserved confounder U. Using H\"older's inequality, we derive a set of bounds on the confounding bias |E[Y|T=t]-E[Y|do(T=t)]| based on…
We study the stochastic system of interacting neurons introduced in De Masi et al. (2015) and in Fournier and L\"ocherbach (2016) in a diffusive scaling. The system consists of $N$ neurons, each spiking randomly with rate depending on its…
We establish self-norming central limit theorems for non-stationary time series arising as observations on sequential maps possessing an indifferent fixed point. These transformations are obtained by perturbing the slope in the…
In this paper, we present a nonparametric estimation procedure for the multivariate Hawkes point process. The timeline is cut into bins and -- for each component process -- the number of points in each bin is counted. The distribution of…