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A Bayesian approach is developed for the inference of an eddy-diffusivity field from Lagrangian trajectory data. The motion of Lagrangian particles is modelled by a stochastic differential equation associated with the advection-diffusion…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Y. K. Ying , J. R. Maddison , J. Vanneste

We present the first method to directly use a learned continuous Lagrangian to forecast the dynamics of systems governed by partial differential equations, exploiting the inherent conservative structure to achieve stable long-range…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Lyra Zhornyak , Eric Forgoston , M. Ani Hsieh

Uncertainty estimation has been extensively studied in recent literature, which can usually be classified as aleatoric uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. In current aleatoric uncertainty estimation frameworks, it is often neglected that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Jing Zhang , Yuchao Dai , Mehrtash Harandi , Yiran Zhong , Nick Barnes , Richard Hartley

This work investigates variational frameworks for modeling stochastic dynamics in incompressible fluids, focusing on large-scale fluid behavior alongside small-scale stochastic processes. The authors aim to develop a coupled system of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-21 Arnaud Debussche , Etienne Mémin

Mesoscale eddies are critical in ocean circulation and the global climate system. Standard eddy identification methods are usually based on deterministic optimal point estimates of the ocean flow field. However, uncertainty exists in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Jeffrey Covington , Nan Chen , Stephen Wiggins , Evelyn Lunasin

The Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) framework enables the construction of surrogate models of complex nonlinear and high-dimensional systems, facilitating efficient stability and performance analysis together with controller design. Despite…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 E. Javier Olucha , Valentin Preda , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

Lagrangian trajectories are widely used as observations for recovering the underlying flow field via Lagrangian data assimilation (DA). However, the strong nonlinearity in the observational process and the high dimensionality of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-02-06 Quanling Deng , Nan Chen , Samuel N. Stechmann , Jiuhua Hu

We propose Lagrangian Descriptors (LDs) as a diagnostic framework for evaluating neural network models of Hamiltonian systems beyond conventional trajectory-based metrics. Standard error measures quantify short-term predictive accuracy but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Abrari Noor Hasmi , Haralampos Hatzikirou , Hadi Susanto

Advances in architectural design, data availability, and compute have driven remarkable progress in semantic segmentation. Yet, these models often rely on relaxed Bayesian assumptions, omitting critical uncertainty information needed for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-19 M. M. A. Valiuddin , R. J. G. van Sloun , C. G. A. Viviers , P. H. N. de With , F. van der Sommen

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

We present a method to quantify uncertainty in the predictions made by simulations of mathematical models that can be applied to a broad class of stochastic, discrete, and differential equation models. Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-05 Kyle S. Hickmann , James M. Hyman , Sara Y. Del Valle

Pervasive across diverse domains, stochastic systems exhibit fluctuations in processes ranging from molecular dynamics to climate phenomena. The Langevin equation has served as a common mathematical model for studying such systems, enabling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-01 Youngkyoung Bae , Seungwoong Ha , Hawoong Jeong

Accurate comparisons between theoretical models and experimental data are critical for scientific progress. However, inferred physical model parameters can vary significantly with the chosen physics model, highlighting the importance of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-10-27 Sunil Jaiswal , Chun Shen , Richard J. Furnstahl , Ulrich Heinz , Matthew T. Pratola

It is known that some equations of differential geometry are derived from variational principle in form of Euler-Lagrange equations. The equations of geodesic flow in Riemannian geometry is an example. Conversely, having Lagrangian…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ruslan Sharipov

We present our recent contributions to the theory of Lagrangian descriptors for discriminating ordered and deterministic chaotic trajectories. The class of Lagrangian Descriptors we are dealing with is based on the Euclidean length of the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-09-20 Jerome Daquin

We present a deep learning framework for quantifying and propagating uncertainty in systems governed by non-linear differential equations using physics-informed neural networks. Specifically, we employ latent variable models to construct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-26 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

It is a long-standing objective to ease the computation burden incurred by the decision making process. Identification of this mechanism's sensitivity to simplification has tremendous ramifications. Yet, algorithms for decision making under…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Andrey Zhitnikov , Vadim Indelman

Hyperbolic balance laws with uncertain (random) parameters and inputs are ubiquitous in science and engineering. Quantification of uncertainty in predictions derived from such laws, and reduction of predictive uncertainty via data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Francesca Boso , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

Real-life, out-of-laboratory, measurements of pedestrian movements allow extensive and fully-resolved statistical analyses. However, data acquisition in real-life is subjected to the wide heterogeneity that characterizes crowd flows over…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-04 Alessandro Corbetta , Chung-min Lee , Adrian Muntean , Federico Toschi

Representing and quantifying uncertainty in physical parameterisations is a central challenge in weather and climate modelling, and approaches are often developed separately for different timescales. Here, we introduce a unified framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Laura A. Mansfield , Hannah M. Christensen
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