Related papers: Lagrangian uncertainty quantification and informat…
To more flexibly balance between exploration and exploitation, a new meta-heuristic method based on Uncertainty Principle concepts is proposed in this paper. UP is is proved effective in multiple branches of science. In the branch of…
Recently Shah et al., 2020 pointed out the pitfalls of the simplicity bias - the tendency of gradient-based algorithms to learn simple models - which include the model's high sensitivity to small input perturbations, as well as sub-optimal…
Quantifying the impact of parametric and model-form uncertainty on the predictions of stochastic models is a key challenge in many applications. Previous work has shown that the relative entropy rate is an effective tool for deriving…
The uncertainty quantification of prediction models (e.g., neural networks) is crucial for their adoption in many robotics applications. This is arguably as important as making accurate predictions, especially for safety-critical…
This work presents a novel data-driven multi-layered planning and control framework for the safe navigation of a class of unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs) in the presence of unknown stationary obstacles and additive modeling uncertainties.…
Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…
Aligning structured data is a fundamental problem in computer vision and machine learning, underlying tasks such as time series analysis, human action recognition, and visual representation learning. Existing alignment methods, including…
We explore probability modelling of discretization uncertainty for system states defined implicitly by ordinary or partial differential equations. Accounting for this uncertainty can avoid posterior under-coverage when likelihoods are…
A central problem in uncertainty quantification is how to characterize the impact that our incomplete knowledge about models has on the predictions we make from them. This question naturally lends itself to a probabilistic formulation, by…
We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…
Lagrangian multiform theory is a variational framework for integrable systems. In this article we introduce a new formulation which is based on symplectic geometry and which treats position, momentum and time coordinates of a…
Data-driven model identification strategies can be used to obtain phenomenological models that capture the temporal evolution of observable data. While it is usually straightforward to obtain such a model from time series data, for instance…
Model-form uncertainties in complex mechanics systems are a major obstacle for predictive simulations. Reducing these uncertainties is critical for stake-holders to make risk-informed decisions based on numerical simulations. For example,…
We present a novel framework based on semi-bounded spatial operators for analyzing and discretizing initial boundary value problems on moving and deforming domains. This development extends an existing framework for well-posed problems and…
In this paper, calculus of variation methods are generalized to find min-max optimal solution of uncertain dynamical systems with uncertain or certain cost. First, a new form of Euler-Lagrange conditions for uncertain systems is presented.…
Despite demonstrating impressive capabilities, Large Language Models (LLMs) still often struggle to accurately express the factual knowledge they possess, especially in cases where the LLMs' knowledge boundaries are ambiguous. To improve…
Graph Neural Networks (GNN) provide a powerful framework that elegantly integrates Graph theory with Machine learning for modeling and analysis of networked data. We consider the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in predictions of GNN…
When mathematical biology models are used to make quantitative predictions for clinical or industrial use, it is important that these predictions come with a reliable estimate of their accuracy (uncertainty quantification). Because models…
Certain systems of inviscid fluid dynamics have the property that for solutions that are only slightly better than differentiable in Eulerian variables, the corresponding Lagrangian trajectories are analytic in time. We elucidate the…
In this paper we develop a novel, discrete-time optimal control framework for mechanical systems with uncertain model parameters. We consider finite-horizon problems where the performance index depends on the statistical moments of the…