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We present an algorithm for computing sparse, least squares-based polynomial chaos expansions, incorporating both adaptive polynomial bases and sequential experimental designs. The algorithm is employed to approximate stochastic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Armin Galetzka , Herbert De Gersem

We present a new approach for constructing a data-driven surrogate model and using it for Bayesian parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models. We first use parameter observations and Gaussian Process regression to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Jing Li , Alexandre M Tartakovsky

This work suggests an interpolation-based stochastic collocation method for the non-intrusive and adaptive construction of sparse polynomial chaos expansions (PCEs). Unlike pseudo-spectral projection and regression-based stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Herbert De Gersem

Machine learning (ML) surrogate models are increasingly used in engineering analysis and design to replace computationally expensive simulation models, significantly reducing computational cost and accelerating decision-making processes.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Xiaoping Du

This paper presents a method for performing Uncertainty Quantification in high-dimensional uncertain spaces by combining arbitrary polynomial chaos with a recently proposed scheme for sensitivity enhancement (1). Including available…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Nick Pepper , Francesco Montomoli , Kyriakos Kantarakias

Sampling orthogonal polynomial bases via Monte Carlo is of interest for uncertainty quantification of models with high-dimensional random inputs, using Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions. It is known that bounding a probabilistic parameter,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

This paper introduces an efficient sparse recovery approach for Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions, which promotes the sparsity by breaking the dimensionality of the problem. The proposed algorithm incrementally explores sub-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-05 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

For a large class of orthogonal basis functions, there has been a recent identification of expansion methods for computing accurate, stable approximations of a quantity of interest. This paper presents, within the context of uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-13 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

In this contribution, we discuss the construction of Polynomial Chaos surrogates for Monte Carlo radiation transport applications via non-intrusive spectral projection. This contribution focuses on improvements with respect to the approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Gianluca Geraci , Kayla Clements , Aaron J Olson

Incorporating probabilistic terms in mathematical models is crucial for capturing and quantifying uncertainties in real-world systems, especially when the solution is not unique or exhibits sudden qualitative changes as parameters vary.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Isabella Carla Gonnella , Moaad Khamlich , Federico Pichi , Gianluigi Rozza

Methods based on polynomial chaos expansion allow to approximate the behavior of systems with uncertain parameters by deterministic dynamics. These methods are used in a wide range of applications, spanning from simulation of uncertain…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Rolf Findeisen , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser

It is known that standard stochastic Galerkin methods face challenges when solving partial differential equations (PDEs) with random inputs. These challenges are typically attributed to the large number of required physical basis functions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Guanjie Wang , Qifeng Liao

Polynomial Chaos Expansions (PCEs) are widely recognized for their efficient computational performance in surrogate modeling. Yet, a robust framework to quantify local model errors is still lacking. While the local uncertainty of PCE…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 A. Hatstatt , X. Zhu , B. Sudret

In the field of uncertainty quantification, sparse polynomial chaos (PC) expansions are commonly used by researchers for a variety of purposes, such as surrogate modeling. Ideas from compressed sensing may be employed to exploit this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 Paul Diaz , Alireza Doostan , Jerrad Hampton

Many high-dimensional uncertainty quantification problems are solved by polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD), which represents Fourier-like series expansion in terms of random orthonormal polynomials with increasing dimensions. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-06 Sharif Rahman

Differential equations with random parameters have gained significant prominence in recent years due to their importance in mathematical modelling and data assimilation. In many cases, random ordinary differential equations (RODEs) are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Maxime Breden , Christian Kuehn

Fractional statistical moments are utilized for various tasks of uncertainty quantification, including the estimation of probability distributions. However, an estimation of fractional statistical moments of costly mathematical models by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Lukáš Novák , Marcos Valdebenito , Matthias Faes

Reliability analysis typically relies on deterministic simulators, which yield repeatable outputs for identical inputs. However, many real-world systems display intrinsic randomness, requiring stochastic simulators whose outputs are random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 A. Pires , M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

An integrated optimization method based on the constrained multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (MOEA) and non-intrusive polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is proposed, which solves robust multi-objective optimization problems under…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Yuji Takubo , Masahiro Kanazaki

Operator learning (OL) has emerged as a powerful tool in scientific machine learning (SciML) for approximating mappings between infinite-dimensional functional spaces. One of its main applications is learning the solution operator of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-29 Himanshu Sharma , Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields